Bitcoin has recently begun a downward correction after reaching a new historical peak around $123,200. Currently, BTC is trading below $120,000 and showing signs of accumulation in the support area, waiting for clearer signals to determine the next direction.

✅ Recent price movements of BTC

After establishing a new peak at $123,200, Bitcoin could not maintain the upward trend and quickly corrected below key support areas such as $122,000 and $120,000.

During the correction, BTC broke through the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level (calculated from the low of $108,636 to the high of $123,140), however, the selling pressure was not strong enough to push the price down further. BTC found solid support at $115,800, indicating that buyers still have some control.

📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis (Timeframe: 1 hour)

  • The price is trading below $119,500 and below the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA 100).

  • An upward price channel is forming, with major support at $118,200.

  • Immediate resistance is at $119,200, followed by $119,500 and $120,000.

  • If BTC can close above $120,000, there is a high possibility that the price will continue to rise to levels:

    • $121,200

    • $122,000

    • And the main target is $123,200 (the most recent historical peak).

❌ Negative scenario: If BTC does not surpass $120,000

In case Bitcoin fails to break through the resistance at $120,000, selling pressure may increase and push the price back to test support areas:

  • Nearest support: $118,200 (uptrend line)

  • Next important support: $116,500

  • Strong support area: $115,500

  • If this level is lost, it is likely that BTC will decline to $113,500 or even $110,500 in the short term.

🔎 Current technical indicators

  • MACD (1-hour timeframe): is losing bearish momentum, could give a reversal signal if it crosses back up.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): is below 50, indicating that the current trend is still leaning towards the bears.

🧠 Conclusion

The market is in a technical correction phase after a hot rally. If BTC holds above the support area of $118,200 – $115,500, the chance of bouncing back is very high, especially when the resistance of $120,000 is decisively broken.

However, investors need to closely monitor price action around $118,200, as if this support is broken, BTC may enter a deeper decline in the short term.

📌 Levels to watch:

  • Support: $118,200 – $115,500 – $113,500 – $110,500

  • Resistance: $119,500 – $120,000 – $121,200 – $123,200