🚀「ARB Surge 7.8% and Returns to Value Anchor! $0.34 Golden Zone, Last Chance for Short-Term Bulls?」
One Sentence Overview: After ARB surged 7.8% in 24 hours, the price has just retested the core trading volume range of the last two weeks (POC≈0.343), with 0.445 above as a liquidity vacuum LVN, and 0.326 HVN below providing support; if buying volume appears in the $0.34 area, one can go long, with a stop loss at $0.333 and targets at $0.385 / $0.445, risk-reward ratio ≈2.9; if it breaks below $0.333, the bullish structure fails and one should go short.
Key Range Structure
• Value Anchor POC: 0.343 (highest trading volume in two weeks, 306 million units)
• High Volume Node HVN: 0.326, 0.337, 0.356 — price drops often find support here
• Low Volume Node LVN: 0.385–0.445 as a “vacuum corridor”, easily accelerates after breaking through
• 70% Trading Volume Coverage: 0.324–0.425, current price $0.432 is close to the upper edge, short-term overbought but not extreme
Momentum Confirmation
• Up Volume above POC 51%, balance between bulls and bears, need to wait for the next large K-line direction confirmation
• Recent 1-hour contract positions decreased by 0.45%, slight capital withdrawal, retest is healthier
• Bollinger Band middle band 0.431, current price closely adheres, MA200 0.390 far below, mid-term trend still leans bullish
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: Buy on retest of 0.340–0.343 with ≥1.5 times average volume bullish candle + Up Vol>60%
Conservative: Wait for a stop-loss engulfing pattern at 0.333–0.337 HVN + 5 min level volume increase
Stop Loss: 0.333 (recent HVN lower edge -0.5×ATR≈0.007)
Targets: T1 0.385 (upper edge of LVN), T2 0.445 (upper liquidity gap)
Risk-Reward Ratio: (0.385-0.343)/(0.343-0.333)=4.2; conservatively calculated by T1 ≈2.9
Risk Warning
• Key Failure: Breaking below 0.333 and closing back within 1 hour is considered a destruction of the bullish structure
• Macro: Contract funding rate is only 0.01%, leverage is not high, but if BTC pulls back, it may lead to a market-wide decline
• Liquidity: Total sell orders at 0.445–0.5 amount to 1.1 million USDT, breakthrough requires sustained volume, otherwise easy false breakout
• Position: Single trade risk ≤1%, avoid high volatility news periods.
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