Main Takeaways

  • Our Top Lead Trader Tips series features exclusive interviews with some of the top performers on the Binance Futures Copy Trading platform. 

  • Today, we interviewed 如果我不懂(“If I Don’t Understand”), a record-breaking trader who has won the latest Binance Futures Trading Competition with a bold ETH bet.

  • He explained that such high-conviction trades are never impulsive, and he has analyzed the market situation comprehensively before making the winning move. 

Welcome to Top Lead Trader Tips, where we continue to bring you invaluable insights from the top performers of the Binance Copy Trading platform.

In this edition, we caught up with the trader with a unique name, 如果我不懂 (“If I Don’t Understand”), a standout figure in the crypto community known for his sharp instincts, a fearless yet disciplined trading style, and a relentless drive to continuously study the market. 

Whether you are a novice or seasoned trader, you can learn how his experience-driven strategies — forged in countless hours of live trading and rigorous self-review — help him navigate extreme volatility and come out on top.

In the Spotlight: If I Don’t Understand

Through Binance Futures, “If I Don’t Understand” has amassed nearly $9 million in cumulative profits, including a single ETH futures trade that netted over $5 million in realized gains — a trade that has become legendary among Binance users.

In the most recent Binance Futures Trading Competition, at a time when almost the entire market was convinced that ETH was on the verge of new lows, “If I Don’t Understand” shocked everyone by publicly disclosing and opening a bold long position of 40,000 ETH contracts. While others saw weakness, he saw a rare convergence of signals. His core thesis was that ETH price movement had not been driven by fundamentals, but rather carried by the momentum tied to BTC's new highs.

His philosophy is simple yet powerful: “If everyone can see the trend clearly, why would only a few make money?” True to this belief, he ignored prevailing market pessimism and put real capital behind his conviction, a move that ultimately crowned him as the competition’s undisputed champion.

He emphasized during his interview that such high-conviction trades are never impulsive. The moment BTC’s price action signaled trouble or a key level was breached, he was prepared to adjust immediately. For him, trading is not about stubbornly holding positions, but about dynamic risk management and acting with surgical precision.

Binance Futures: First, could you briefly introduce yourself?

 如果我不懂: My handle on X (Twitter) and Binance Square is 如果我不懂, meaning “If I Don’t Understand.” Many people wonder why I chose this name. The initial inspiration actually came from Binance’s co-founder CZ (Changpeng Zhao)’s famous quote: “If you cannot hodl, you won’t be rich.”

Since my trading style is mostly based on research and deep understanding before making strategic moves, I casually came up with a name that reflects my guiding principle: “If I don’t understand, then I don’t deserve to make money.” It sounded unconventional and interesting, so I kept it. It becomes a mantra and a reminder for me to always fully understand what I am doing, in order to succeed in the market. 

Binance Futures: Your performance in the recent futures competition has been remarkable. Your team, which consists of only one member – yourself – and cheekily called “Not Good at Trading” is firmly holding first place. Why did you choose to participate in Binance’s competition?

 如果我不懂: Binance has the strongest liquidity and provides good funds security, which I really appreciate. 

Other platforms also have decent offerings, but I still mainly use Binance because I’m comfortable with its UI and UX.

As for the competition, it was purely coincidental. I didn’t trade specifically for the contest — I simply completed the trades I had planned, and they happened to align with the competition timeline.

Binance Futures: Could you share your mindset and any general tips for trading competitions? Especially that impressive ETH move — how did you come up with it? Can you share your thought process?

 如果我不懂:  Many people were curious why, during a time when the entire market was criticizing ETH for its weakness and expecting new lows, I still decided to openly long 40,000 ETH contracts. Of course, that position wasn’t just a gamble.

Some of my reasoning was shared in advance on Binance Square, and it was based on multiple factors, ignoring market noise:

  • Continuous net inflows into ETH ETFs for over ten days, even stronger than BTC over some periods.

  • Grayscale’s staking ETF was approaching a crucial window after June 2, with the SEC potentially announcing a decision at any time — creating conditions for a sudden “wick” spike.

  • Huge daily-level upward moves in ETH, and when combined with ETF and other indicators, the ETH/BTC ratio had dropped sharply, suggesting a high probability of further rebound.

  • Short-term market sentiment for ETH was stronger than other coins — there was a clear sense of funds itching to jump in.

  • ETH’s monthly chart position was still weaker than other coins (BNB, SOL), and on the daily chart, it hadn’t broken lower. If BTC hadn’t fallen below 102,000 — which gave large players a chance to push ETH down to 2,380 — ETH’s rally might have started even earlier.

  • I’ve always emphasized that ETH depends on whether BTC can hold. This round’s ETH rally was driven by BTC’s new highs rather than ETH’s own strong fundamentals. It was purely an ETF-driven buying logic; on-chain fundamentals (e.g., gwei) were still essentially zero. Even this push to $2,850 happened when BTC failed to hold above $110K. If BTC had held above $110K, ETH might have pushed to $3,000 — but probably no new highs.

Binance Futures: This is a thorough analysis. Do you have any general trading insights you can share?

 如果我不懂: There’s no universally “right” leverage — it depends on your expected return per trade. Some people want to gamble $100 for a miracle and prefer very high leverage. High leverage can develop a gambling mentality and addiction. Small leverage used as a tool is more rational and sustainable. Overall, I recommend small leverage based on each token’s volatility.

Binance Futures:  How should traders handle debt and losses? How to build a resilient mindset?

如果我不懂: Clear your debts. You might be trading daily, but remember: before you’ve proven your skill and results, use only spare funds.

Debt greatly impacts mindset — you enter the market with a “debuff,” like entering a Macau casino with one chance, hoping to win big. That’s a one-in-a-billion chance — don’t assume you’re the chosen one.

Improve your main job, clear debt, then invest with spare funds. Start small, amounts that won’t affect your life. Train first, build experience, and then scale up capital.

If I started over, I wouldn’t say there’s anything I “shouldn’t have done.” Every failure improved me and gave me lessons that shaped my current mindset. Without sleepless nights and setbacks, I wouldn’t be here.

I never borrowed money or used debt to invest.

Instead, I recommend using small funds to experience mistakes firsthand, improve your understanding and experience.

Final Thoughts

For “If I Don’t Understand,” success in futures trading has never been about chasing the highest leverage or aiming for overnight riches. It’s about respecting the market, staying humble, and being ready to adapt to any scenario — even when it means walking away or taking small losses.

His journey reminds us that every great trader is forged through countless failures, deep self-reflection, and relentless discipline. From losing nearly everything during brutal market cycles to rebuilding with patient study and strict risk control, he embodies the mindset that survival always comes before glory.

“If you don’t have a clear, personal profit logic, don’t touch futures yet,” he says. In his world, trading is a lifelong practice and continuous learning, not a one-time gamble — a process of learning to defeat your own weaknesses as much as the market.

Ready to explore the world of copy trading? Explore Binance Futures Copy Trading platform and Binance Futures Smart Money platform to learn from our top-performing community members.

If you're confident in your abilities and interested in becoming a Lead Trader to scale up your operation, sign up on Binance Futures Copy Trading today!

Further Reading

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