Current situation (July 16, 2025):
- Price: ~0.45–0.50 USD (based on current data, CoinMarketCap, Binance).
- Context: AVA is the token of Travala.com, a blockchain-based travel booking platform on Ethereum and BNB Chain supporting cryptocurrency payments. Launched in 2017, integrated with Binance Pay, Expedia, Booking.com. Market capitalization: ~25–30 million USD (rank ~400–500). Trading volume: ~10–20 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~56.8 million AVA, maximum: 100 million. Price has dropped ~93% from ATH (6.45 USD, April 2021), but recent growth of 5–10% is linked to new listings and partnerships (@Travala, X). TVL: ~10–20 million USD.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analysis):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 0.63–1.27 USD (growth of 40–180%) in a bull market and increased cryptocurrency payments.
- Neutral: 0.50–0.80 USD (growth of 10–80%).
- Pessimistic: 0.09–0.33 USD in case of correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.40–0.45 USD, 0.25–0.30 USD.
- Resistance: 0.60–0.70 USD, 0.90–1.10 USD.
- Trend: Neutral. Daily chart shows consolidation (RSI ~40–50, 50 MA above 200 MA), weekly — weak bullish (MACD is neutral). A breakout above 0.60 USD may signal growth, a drop below 0.40 USD — a correction.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Crypto payments: Travala.com accepts 70+ cryptocurrencies, integrated with Binance Pay, supports USDT, BTC, ETH.
- Partnerships: Binance, Expedia, Booking.com, Chainlink, CoinGecko. New listing on MEXC and Bybit (@Travala).
- Ecosystem: 2 million+ hotels, 600+ airlines, 3% cashback in AVA. Growth in bookings (+20% YoY).
- Community: Positive on X (@Travala, @KriptoLisa) — NFT announcements for loyalty and Web3 tourism.
- BTC Halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Tokenomics: deflationary model, token burning, staking (APR ~3–7%).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify AVA as a security.
- Volatility: low capitalization (~30 million USD) is vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: TripAdvisor, Expedia (traditional platforms), LockTrip in crypto-tourism.
- Unlocks: ~10 million USD in 2025 may pressure the price.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor predicts a drop to 0.039–0.053 USD by 2026, considering AVA a poor investment.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on dips to 0.40–0.45 USD, stop below 0.25 USD. Target: 0.70–1.00 USD. Staking on Binance (APR ~3–7%) for income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout above 0.60 USD, target 0.90–1.10 USD. Sell below 0.40 USD, target 0.25–0.30 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to high volatility, low liquidity, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, decline in interest in crypto-tourism, drop in BTC/ETH.
