#CPIWatch Here's the latest CPI news from around the world:
Global CPI Updates
- *India's CPI inflation*: dropped to a 6-year low of 2.1% in June 2025, driven by food deflation and favorable base effects. This is down from 2.82% in May.
- *US CPI inflation*: rose to 2.7% year-over-year in June 2025, matching market forecasts. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 2.9%.
- *China's CPI*: declined by 0.1% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, while core CPI rose by 0.4%. In June, headline CPI edged up 0.1% year-over-year.¹ ² ³
Economic Implications
- The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has shifted its policy stance to "neutral" after rate cuts, signaling cautious optimism.
- The US Federal Reserve closely monitors CPI data, which may influence future interest rate decisions.
- China's economic growth remains on track, despite a decline in CPI.
Forecasts and Analysis
- Analysts expect India's CPI inflation to remain stable, with some predicting a slight increase in the coming months.
- The US CPI is forecast to continue rising, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
- China's CPI is expected to experience low-level growth in the second half of 2025, driven by economic stability and policy support.