#CPIWatch Here’s the latest #CPIWatch update for both Pakistan 🇵🇰 and the U.S. 🇺🇸:

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📉 Pakistan CPI (Year‑on‑Year, May & June 2025)

May 2025: CPI rose 3.46% YoY, with a slight 0.17% month‑to‑month decline. Urban inflation edged up 0.07% MoM, while rural areas saw a 0.53% drop .

June 2025: Headline inflation came in at 3.20% YoY, down from 3.50% in May . A private-sector alert confirms CPI for June at **3.23%** .

Analysis:

Pakistan’s inflation remains subdued, hovering in the 3–3.5% range—far below last year’s peak of ~38%. Progress is steady, but watch out for IMF-linked measures and energy‑price adjustments that could disrupt the trend .

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🇺🇸 U.S. CPI (May 2025)

May 2025: U.S. headline CPI rose 0.1% MoM (seasonally adjusted), finishing 2.4% YoY. Core CPI (ex food & energy) also climbed 0.1% MoM, 2.8% YoY .

Energy: -1.0% MoM, -3.5% YoY; food: +0.3% MoM, +2.9% YoY .

Coming soon: June CPI is due July 15, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET . Forecasts expect YoY to inch slightly higher (≈2.6%) based on early investing.com data .

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🔍 Snapshot Overview

Country YoY Inflation Recent MoM Trend Outlook Notes

Pakistan ~3.2–3.5% Flat to slightly down Stable, but IMF/energy policies could push inflation higher

U.S. ~2.4% headline, 2.8% core Minor rises in food & shelter; energy lower June report tomorrow will shed light on Fed rate path

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🧭 What to Watch

Pakistan: Keep an eye on July FY26 budget, possible tax hikes and energy price adjustments from the IMF, which analysts suggest could reignite inflation .

U.S.: Fed decisions hinge on whether June CPI confirms persistent core inflation. A higher print may delay rate cuts; cooler CPI could prompt them.

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✅ Bottom Line

Pakistan’s CPI remains anchored near 3%, a drastic improvement from 2023 highs.

U.S. CPI remains moderate at ~2–3%, though June data will be pivotal for interest rate forecasts.

Need a breakdown by food, energy, urban vs. rural, or historical trends like Feb‑May data? Just ask!