👀 Today in the USA, the corporate earnings season kicks off
➡️ Analysts are in agreement: growth is slowing down
✏️ FactSet expects that S&P 500 companies' profits will increase by only 4.8% in the second quarter — the slowest pace since the end of 2023.
✏️ LSEG is slightly more optimistic — 5.8% compared to 13.7% in the first quarter.
✏️ UBS has already lowered its profit growth forecast for the entire year of 2025 to 6%, warning of a possible technical recession in the second half of the year.
✏️ JPMorgan is also cautious: inflation and import tariffs may slow down EPS growth, and the year-end target for the index has been lowered to 6300 points.
✏️ Charles Schwab confirms: inflation and trade risks are pressuring companies' margins.
➡️ But there are also bullish forecasts:
✏️ Goldman Sachs raised its target for the S&P 500 to 6500 points, citing steady demand for AI stocks and no signs of recession.
✏️ Sanctuary Wealth expects the index to rise to 7000 (+12% from current levels).
✏️ Deutsche Bank sees the same range — 6800–7000.
➡️ What does this mean for the crypto market?
✏️ If the reports disappoint, capital may start flowing into crypto as an alternative asset.
✏️ If the reports are strong, crypto will still gain momentum — as part of the overall rally.