Current situation (July 15, 2025):
- Price: ~0.90–1.05 USD (based on current data, CoinGecko, MEXC).
- Context: NXPC — the MapleStory Universe token, a blockchain project from Nexon (South Korea), integrating Web3 into the MMORPG MapleStory. The token is used for transactions, staking, governance, and exchange for the in-game currency NESO. It operates on an L1 blockchain with NFT support. Market capitalization: ~164–187 million USD (rank ~300–400). Trading volume: ~20–770 million USD/24h (volatility due to listings). Circulating supply: ~169–177.5 million NXPC, maximum: 1 billion. The price has fallen by ~73% from ATH (3.70 USD, May 2025) but has increased by ~0.5–9.4% over the week. TVL: ~50–100 million USD. Activity: 14 million+ wallets, 440 million+ transactions in the testnet.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 1.05–3.82 USD (growth of 20–300%) in a bull market, success in GameFi, and listings.
- Neutral: 0.60–1.63 USD (growth of 0–80%).
- Pessimistic: 0.08–0.54 USD during correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.87–0.90 USD, 0.54–0.60 USD.
- Resistance: 1.07–1.44 USD, 1.63–2.22 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart is neutral (RSI ~30–70, 50 MA above 200 MA), weekly bullish (MACD ascending). Breaking 1.07 USD may signal growth, falling below 0.87 USD — correction.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- GameFi: MapleStory Universe integrates NFT, P2E, and player-oriented economy. 21K+ players, 413K on-chain actions.
- Partnerships: Binance, Bybit, MEXC, Bitget, KuCoin, Chainlink, Solana (listing July 10, 2025). Investments: 120 million USD from Delphi Digital, VanEck, Coinfund.
- Tokenomics: deflationary model, token burning, staking (APR ~5–10%). NXPC/NESO model supports liquidity.
- Community: Positive on X (@blanknod1235, @shaharia_s35097) — expectations for a breakout at $1 and the release of Fission/Fusion.
- Halving BTC (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Innovations: SDK for developers, Web3 passports (SBT), L1 scalability.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify NXPC as a security.
- Volatility: low market cap (~164 million USD) vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: Axie Infinity, The Sandbox, Gala Games in GameFi.
- Unlocks: 2.07 million NXPC (0.21% of max supply) in February 2026 may pressure the price.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor predicts a drop to 0.117 USD, considering NXPC a bad investment. Criticism of the team for slowness (@tttooouuu44).
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections to 0.87–0.90 USD, stop below 0.54 USD. Target: 1.63–3.00 USD. Staking on MEXC/Binance (APR ~5–10%) for income.
- Traders: Buy on break of 1.07 USD, target 1.63–2.22 USD. Sell below 0.87 USD, target 0.54–0.60 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% deposit due to volatility, low liquidity, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, decline of GameFi hype, drop in BTC/ETH.