I. Market Review, short-term grasp again!
I have always said that the fish, shrimp, and crabs will start a bear market in March 2024 or even December 2021. This view has never changed, but bear markets can also have upward movements. Sometimes the ups can be very fierce. Many people see me talk about bear markets and react violently, and then they resist the Bull Demon King, and then blame me for being bearish. I'm truly exasperated!
Recently, I have been saying in a certain square's article that it goes up before it goes down, not immediately down! There was no significant decline before July 22-August 1!
After I reminded on July 9 to secure profits and react violently, I then bought the Bull Demon King and w|i|f again on July 10, and all fish, shrimp, and crabs had a 10% recovery! The 1000% fish and shrimp from a few days ago had a maximum recovery of 32%!
wif is almost up 20%, nearing extreme positions, I perfectly secured profits, don't be too greedy!
The upward amplitude of the Bull Demon King and the concubine is also within our expected wave types:
When the market is good, it's not surprising that you earn a bit more than my w|i|f, because during the bear market, I am cautious, fearing to lose my share of the profit; we strive to earn more profits without losing any. I won't share much about fish, shrimp, and crabs; the ones I share are those that can be understood!
When the market is bad, your greed, adding positions high up, or unwillingness to secure profits, fearing profits turn into losses, these things happen often! I don't know how many people in December 2025 stood at high positions, unwilling to secure profits; at the beginning of this year, they were once at ten shares remaining, now it has become ten shares remaining two or three, still no return on their share.
II. Accurate prediction that the Bull Demon King will appear in wave 3-5 on July 13-14!
(1) On July 11, I pointed out that after a few days of horizontal turbulence, the Bull Demon King would have new peaks:
(2) The expected script from July 11 has indeed arrived: [The 3-5 wave peak appears on July 13-14! After the 3-5 wave, there is a 4-wave decline, the 4-wave decline will see the bottom around July 18-20, and the 5-wave rise will appear on July 22-23, at the latest August 1.]
The trends of the Bull Demon King and Ethereum also basically match the predictions:
III. How to determine if the Bull Demon King has completely reached the peak?
No matter how the wave shapes change, the underlying thought remains unchanged:
(1) The rebound after 98200 has three upward segments, or even five upward segments!
(2) The upgrade level after 98200 is the same as the upgrade level from 74508-111980; only the daily MACD death cross can determine the final peak.
(3) If it does not decline back to 112000, there is still a possibility for the fifth segment, if it does not decline back to the upper track of the Chande central axis 109700 and breaks 108789, it cannot be confirmed that it has reached the peak.
(4) A 4-hour MACD death cross indicates a temporary peak, and with the 4-hour MACD about to death cross and the 1-hour MACD already in a death cross, it can be predicted that it will rise to a temporary peak.
(5) The phase of reaching the peak can be a short-term small-level peak, or it can be the ultimate large peak. Any ultimate peak must first come from a small-level peak, and as the level does not change, it expands to ultimately become a large-level peak.
(6) Even if it reaches the peak from July 22 to August 1, the Bull Demon King himself will not immediately decline significantly, but will mainly decline gently.
IV. Fish and shrimp should be cautious about reaching the ultimate peak on July 11 or July 14! Heightened vigilance, this is not the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs!
On July 10, when the Bull Demon King hit a historical peak, no one was excited. On July 11, when the Bull Demon King created another historical peak, fans began to get excited! Every time fans fomo and pressure me is when fish, shrimp, and crabs are about to reach the peak! This was the case in March 2024, and also in December 2024! Many people see the rise and become anxious, then they see 150K, 200K, which is completely unnecessary.
Most fish, shrimp, and crabs reach the peak earlier than the Bull Demon King and the concubine! This is a bloody lesson! Fish and shrimp usually reach the peak during the big cake's 3-3 waves (which have ended), 3-5 waves (which have arrived today), or during 5-1 or 5-3 waves, the more people fomo, the more you should be vigilant!
Fish, shrimp, and crabs are still in a bear market! Just a rise in the bear market! No one has a god's perspective! No one can always enter at the lowest and exit at the highest? Is the lesson not profound?
Now is still not the time for long-term relationships; earn a wave and then secure profits; for long-term relationships, we still need to wait for the opportunity of the celestial map!
In the short term, only interact with fish, shrimp, and crabs that have a potential of 100%-500%-1000%, similar to b|a|n|a|n|a|s|3|1 or p|e|n|g|u, or fish and shrimp that can reach the peak simultaneously with the Bull Demon King (like h|y|p|e). The 100%+ fish and shrimp in the circle are exactly the same as the model of p|e|n|g|u!
How to find these 100%+ fish, shrimp, and crabs? Read the article yourself: (Methodology for finding potential fish, shrimp, and crabs: Mining M|e|m|e fish, shrimp, and crabs with B|A|N|A|N|A|S|3|1 half-month 500% password), (How to find 1000% fish, shrimp, and crabs through wave theory, Wyckoff accumulation model, and Chande theory?).
On July 10 () circle reminded [The trends of the concubine are very similar]:
The wave analysis chart provided by () circle on July 11 is as follows:
Most fish, shrimp, and crabs reached the peak ahead of time from May 12 to May 13.
If the gears of history are the same, then most altcoins will reach the peak between July 13-14, or even on July 11 (most does not equal all, remember the word most), and there is no so-called season for fish, shrimp, and crabs!
The more you fomo, the more you need to stay vigilant and calm! I hope everyone can be safe!
As the chart provided by () circle on July 11 shows, [Many people ask about the season for fish and shrimp; the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs must last at least two weeks. If it only rises for a few days, it is not the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs but a trap for chasing!]
I personally believe this is not the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs, but it is impossible to convince everyone, especially those diamond hands!
If you insist this is the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs, enter during the secondary bottom from July 18 to July 20, and then exit from July 22 to July 23, at the latest August 1, it's that simple.
V. Not all fish, shrimp, and crabs reach the peak early, for example, h|y|p|e still has the 5th wave up!
Everyone remember, not all fish, shrimp, and crabs reach the peak early, for example, h|y|p|e still has the 5th wave up, see the chart:
VI. Methodology for finding potential fish, shrimp, and crabs: Mining M|e|m|e fish, shrimp, and crabs with B|A|N|A|N|A|S|3|1 half-month 500% password
VII. The 'Silent Bull Market' under Bitcoin's new high: The game between institutions' revelry and the retreat of retail investors.
VIII. Analysis of Bitcoin's medium-term trend
The two segments of Bitcoin's trend are very similar:
Bitcoin has three trends as shown in the cyan line, green line, and orange line in the chart below, everyone please examine carefully:
IX. Analysis of Bitcoin's short-term trend
<1>【Wave Trend Analysis】
Short-term wave trends are as follows:
(1) On July 11 predicted [Expecting between July 13-15 or around July 18, the rebound target for the third upward segment is at least 119092.99 - Monthly Bollinger upper track 119600, ideally spiking to Fibonacci fan's 0-axis upper track 121357.7-123138.37-125637.6. Before the third upward segment ends, the downward movement is unlikely to drop below 115222. Before the 3-5 wave officially starts, before the 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrow, these two days will run in the channel formed by the upper and lower tracks of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands. After the 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrow, it will convert to running in the channel formed by the upper and lower tracks of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands.] All of these have been realized.
(2) If it does not break 119488, then there is still one small wave higher than 122666 to end the 3-5 wave. The upward targets are 123138.37-123596.03-125270.03, extreme 125637.6.
If it breaks 119488, then the 3-5 waves have ended.
The end of the 3-5 waves means that the third upward segment has also ended.
(3) After the end of the third upward segment, if it does not break 112000, there is still a chance for the fifth upward segment. If it breaks 108789.99, then there is completely no fifth upward segment. Pay special attention if the third upward segment significantly exceeds 119092.99 (which has already been realized), then the probability of the fifth upward segment is very high.
(5) If there is a fifth upward segment (5 waves), the target for the fourth downward segment (4 waves) is near the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands or the 6-hour Bollinger Bands. The target for the fifth upward segment is above the upper track of the Fibonacci fan's 0 axis, targets 125637.6-128177-135672, with the time node around July 22-August 1.
<2> 【Wyckoff Reaccumulation Model Analysis】
The Bull Demon King's 【Wyckoff Reaccumulation Model】 (Distribution Model + Accumulation Model) is as shown below:
After 98200, there is the Wyckoff accumulation model; 98200 is a spring effect, followed by another test, with LPS appearing near 104623, SOS at 108275, and BU/LPS near 105100.
The 1-hour level has seen a phase of distribution (which can be termed as a distribution continuation), but this is not the final distribution.
Psy high points, BC high points, ST high points, UT high points appeared in sequence, with 106608.9 being the AR freezing point. If it does not break 119488, there is still the possibility of a UTAD high point.
【Chande Trend Analysis】
From the perspective of Chande theory, a daily central axis has formed, with the upper track of the Chande central axis at 110530. As long as it does not fall back to 110530, the upward movement is not considered over.
【BBI Analysis】
The daily BBI key resistance is at 114852.44 today. If the daily BBI loses ground for multiple days, the upward movement may end.
<4>【Gann Theory + Fibonacci Sequence Analysis】
(1) The Gann time series has important turning points on July 22, August 1, and August 11.
(2) July 23, July 31, and August 7 are important turning points in Gann's box:
(3) The third upward segment is constrained by the purplish-red Gann angle line. The fourth downward segment is resisted by the green Gann angle line.
<5>【Trend Combination Strategy Indicator Analysis】
[Long-term Indicators] 4-hour is in a chasing state, the latest balance line of violent hits and chasing is at 116810.99.
<6>【Improved Kiss System Analysis】
Using BBI and KC middle track to replace MA 5 and MA 20 may effectively filter out frequent consolidation signals, preventing premature exits.
The daily level can only represent re-entering consolidation if new flying kisses, wet kisses, or lip kisses are formed; otherwise, it will continue to rise.
<7>【Fibonacci Fan Analysis】
The upper track of the Fibonacci fan's 0 axis is around 124000, and it is about to be reached! Generally, the upward movement will end after being above a certain distance from the upper track of the Fibonacci fan's 0 axis.
<8>【5-day CCI Analysis】
The 5-day CCI is exactly the same as in the second half of 2021, and we will see a double peak in the 5-day CCI similar to the end of 2021!
<9>【Weekly MACD Analysis】
The weekly MACD green bar height has significantly increased, similar to the large wave of upward movement at the end of 2021.
X. The Ethereum trend under a long bear market
(1) On July 11, predicted [Around July 13, the rebound target for the third upward segment is at least 3035.29-3067.71, ideally 3157.81-3175.29, but there is a small probability it will spike to 3272.78-3307.23. Before the third upward segment ends, the pullback is unlikely to drop below 2913.75. Before the 3-5 wave officially starts, before the 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrow, in these two days it will run in the channel formed by the upper and lower tracks of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands. After the 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrow, it will convert to running in the channel formed by the upper and lower tracks of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands.] All of these have been realized!
(2) As long as it does not break 2988, there is still one small wave higher than 3066 to end the 3-5 waves, targeting 3077.74-3128.95, extreme small probability up to 3185.22.
If it breaks 2988, then the 3-5 waves have ended.
The end of wave 3-5 means that the third upward segment has also ended.
(4) After the end of the third upward segment, if it does not break 2823.18, there is still a chance for the fifth upward segment (5 waves) to arise. If it breaks 2525, then there is completely no fifth upward segment. Pay special attention if the third upward segment significantly exceeds 3011.16 (which has already been realized), then the probability of the fifth upward segment is very high.
(5) If there is a fifth upward segment (5 waves), the target for the fourth downward segment is near the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands or the 6-hour Bollinger Bands.
The target for the fifth upward segment is 3272.78-3307.23-3606.06, with the time node around July 22-August 1.
XI. The great A rises floating over the clouds three thousand feet
(1) The overall super cycle 3-3-3-2 wave is a more complex adjustment wave of the WXY structure.
Among them, the super cycle 3-3-3-2-W wave ended on April 7, 2025, at 3040.78.
The internal structure is wxyxz adjustment waves.
The super cycle 3-3-3-2-X wave has not yet ended from 3040.78 to the present.
After the end of the super cycle 3-3-3-2-X wave, there is still the super cycle 3-3-3-2-Y wave.
(2) The super cycle 3-3-3-2-X wave is divided into three upward segments.
The internal structure of the first segment is a double zigzag adjustment wave.
(3) The starting point of the third segment of the 3-3-3-2-X wave is at 3347 on June 23, 2025.
The third segment will reach the final target of 3581-3612-3650-3725 by August 1 at the latest.
After the upward movement, the super cycle 3-3-3-2-Y wave begins, continuously declining until the end of August to early September.
The super cycle 3-3-3-2-Y wave ends, followed by the super cycle 3-3-3-3 wave.
The main upward wave of the bull market is in September! Golden September and Silver October!
XII. The SOL trend under a long bear market
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
XIII. The XRP trend under a long bear market
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
Fourteen, CSI 2000 trend
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
Fifteen, Dow Jones trend
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
Sixteen, Tesla's trend
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
Seventeen, Hang Seng Index trend
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
XVIII. Allwinner Technology's wave trend
Market analysis is updated in real-time to () circle.
Non-real-time market analysis is updated irregularly (at most once a month).
XIX. To forge iron, one must be strong oneself.
As a novice in the realm of point speculation, I practice wave theory, Chande theory, Wyckoff trading method, and Gann theory, being a pioneer of high win-rate trading models, creator of BBI+KC turning point channel line, DC cycle pioneer, supplemented by advanced trend lines of CCI, improved Fibonacci fan compatibility speed resistance lines, and advanced turning indicators, exploring the path to sustainable profit!
To forge iron, one must be strong oneself. Only by enhancing cognition can one successfully traverse through bull and bear markets. We emphasize sharing knowledge, cultivating independent thinking, learning and accumulating in bear markets, and making oneself the dream of others in bull markets. We welcome those who resonate with the values of the novice learning points community and are willing to learn and cultivate independent thinking abilities; only when you transform this knowledge and skill into personal accumulation can you possess the ability to think independently and avoid becoming a puppet!
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