ETH/USDT Technical Analysis, Price Prediction and Trade Plan

$ETH

🗓️Date -July 14 ,2025

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📈 Key Observations:

1️⃣ Current Price: $3,037.41 (▲ +2.79% in 24h) – testing $3,050 resistance.

2️⃣ EMAs:

EMA(7): $2,893.99

EMA(25): $2,674.77

EMA(99): $2,464.87

👉 Price is above all EMAs, showing a bullish trend, but tightening EMAs hint at potential volatility.

3️⃣ Overbought Indicators:

Stoch RSI: 98.17 (🚨 extreme overbought)

MA of Stoch RSI: 98.27 (confirms exhaustion).

4️⃣ 24h Range:

📌 Low: $2,940.24

📌 High: $3,051.26

5️⃣ Volume:

24h ETH: 450,253.94

📉 Current: 125,328.69 vs. MA(5): 538,056 → ↓76% = very low participation.

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💡 Interpretation:

⚠️ Bull Trap Risk → Price at resistance but volume collapsing — classic distribution.

🚨 Extreme overbought → Stoch RSI >98 signals imminent reversal.

🎯 Key Levels:

Resistance: $3,051.26 → breakout threshold.

Support: $2,940.24 → $2,894 (EMA7).

📉 Divergence → Price ↑2.79% but volume ↓ drastically → bearish divergence.

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🔮 Price Prediction:

📅 Short-term (24h):

🔻 Likely rejection at $3,050 → fall to $2,940–$2,900.

🚀 If breakout above $3,051 with volume → rise to $3,100–$3,200.

📅 Medium-term (1 week):

Staying above EMA(7) ($2,894) → bullish, target $3,300–$3,500.

Below EMA(7) → correction to $2,675 (EMA25).

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📝 Trade Plan

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🔻 Scenario 1: Short at Resistance (Highest Probability)

🎯 Entry: $3,040–$3,050 (below resistance + fading volume).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,060.

🎯 Targets:

TP1: $3,000

TP2: $2,940

TP3: $2,895

📈 Risk-Reward: ~1:5

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🚀 Scenario 2: Breakout Long (Low Conviction)

🎯 Entry: Close above $3,051.26 with strong volume (>538K).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,020.

🎯 Targets: $3,200 → $3,300.

📌 Wait for Stoch RSI to cool below 90 before entering.

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💰 Scenario 3: Buy the Dip

🎯 Entry: $2,940 (24h Low) or $2,895 (EMA7).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $2,880.

🎯 Targets: $3,000 → $3,050.

📌 Trigger: Bullish reversal candle (hammer, engulfing) at support.

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⚖️ Risk Management:

📉 Position Size: ≤1.5% of capital.

📉 Leverage: Max 3x (volatility risk).

📊 Key Signals:

✅ Go Long → breakout above $3,051 + strong volume.

🔻 Go Short → rejection at $3,050 + fading volume.

🌎 Watch:

BTC price trend (ETH often follows).

Ethereum ETF/catalyst news.

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📝 Conclusion:

✨ ETH is overextended at $3,050 with collapsing volume & extreme overbought signals.

🎯 Best setup: Short near $3,040–$3,050 for optimal risk-reward.

🚀 Breakout → only if confirmed with volume.

💰 Buy dips → wait for $2,940 or EMA7 to hold support.

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📊 Updated: 2025-07-12 — Reassess if price closes >$3,051 or <$2,940.

💪 Trade smart & stay disciplined! 🚀

Trade from here 👉 $ETH

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