#SpotVSFuturesStrategy

BSW don't say I didn't tell you. I warned you yesterday. It is repeating today.

What does the recent price action tell us?

The jump from $0.01506 to $0.01705 was quick but not sustained.

It has already retraced to the zone of $0.0154–$0.0155, suggesting:

There wasn't enough buying volume in that area to consolidate the breakout.

Some holders took aggressive profits at $0.017.

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🔍 What conditions would allow for a successful break above $0.017?

1. Increasing volume in the $0.0162–$0.017 zone

It needs volume that exceeds what was recorded during the previous jump.

2. Strong maintenance above $0.0155

If the reaccumulation base holds, the price may attempt another push.

3. Support from BTC or the BNB ecosystem

If BNB or BTC rise in parallel, the sentiment also pulls BSW.

4. Nighttime Asian activity

At this time, high-volume traders from Asia enter, which can tilt the balance.

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📊 Probability of breaking $0.017 (at current state)

Scenario Estimated Probability Notes

Breaks and consolidates above $0.017 30% Only if the volume is very strong

Breaks $0.017 briefly and drops 45% The most common scenario if there is no sustained volume

Fails before $0.017 and returns to $0.015–0.0152 25% If BTC or BNB weaken

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✅ Conclusion

Yes, it can break above $0.017, but:

It needs clear strength and sustained volume.

If that strength doesn't come in, a false breakout followed by a pullback is more likely.