【Aave Market Analysis and Short Strategy Update 2025-07-13 13:00】
If Aave breaks 318.22, this is the scenario below; if it does not break, then this is not the scenario:
(1) The rebound from 114.05 to 325.41 is a 5-wave impulse wave. Before a new 5-wave impulse wave appears, any pullback will not create a new low of 114.05.
(2) The decline after 325.41 is an wxy correction wave. The red line from 325.41 to 213 is the entirety of the decline after 325.41.
(3) The target for the fifth segment of the rise is 330-340-352.96 because the third segment will not be the shortest and will not exceed 352.96 at most.
(4) If the short position breaks 318.2, stop loss; buy back below 330-340, and if it breaks 353 again, stop loss (also need to buy back simultaneously after Ethereum's rebound is in place).