Today we're exploring BTC/USD through the power of Fibonacci retracement & extension, one of the Square-approved tools that brings both precision and structure. Letâs peel the layersâfriendly, data-driven, and clear! đ
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đ§Š Fibonacci Framework: Chart Breakdown
Bitcoin has recently broken out of a descending channel, triggering a fresh bullish waveâclassic breakout action confirmed by rising RSI and bullish MACD .
From the swing low ($110âŻ587), key Fibonacci retracement levels line up neatly:
đĄ 23.6%: ~$108âŻ800 â First bounce zone
38.2%: ~$109âŻ250 â Mid-tier support
50%: ~$109âŻ858 â Core support on dips
61.8%: ~$110âŻ300 â Strong bounce region
These zones align with pivot levels and dynamic EMAsâgreat supplement to Square style setups .
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đŻ Trade Plans â Square Family Style
đ Breakout Play
Trigger: Clean close above ~$112âŻ894 (Fibonacci 100% + channel resistance) with volume spike .
Targets:
TP1: $120âŻ000â$128âŻ500 (Fibonacci extensions + Reuters breakout levels)
TP2: $135âŻ000â$146âŻ400+ (larger fib targets, per technical models)
Stop-Loss: Below $109âŻ250â$109âŻ858 (38â50% retracement)
đď¸ Bounce Setup
Entry: On dip into $108âŻ800â$109âŻ858 zones with bullish candlestick.
Targets/SL: Same as breakout trade.
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đĄď¸ Risk Radar
Pullback Risk: If BTC fails above $112âŻ894, a drop into "thin air" between $113âŻ735â$108âŻ524 could happen fast .
Deeper Drop: A breakdown of $108âŻ800 could push price to $105âŻ144â$105âŻ130, aligning with fib 50%â61.8% .
Macro events: Geopolitical news can tip scalesâalways keep size reasonable.
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đ Why This Coheres
A recent high of $116âŻ868 broke old resistances, backed by strong ETF flows, on-chain accumulation, and rising volume .
Spot BTC ETF demand is active, while on-chain momentum remains high .
The fib-structured breakout framework meshes with squareâs standard of clarity and checklists.
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đ Square Summary Table
Strategy Entry Condition Targets Stop-Loss
Breakout Close > $112âŻ894 w/ volume $120âŻK â $128.5K â $135â146K+ ~ $109.25â109.85 fib zone
Bounce Dip to $108.8â109.85 + bullish signal Same as above < $108.8
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⨠Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is embracing Fibonacci's flow: retracement zones aligning, volume support, and potential extension targets around $128Kâ$146K. If momentum stays, these level plays could be fruitful. If BTC tests support, it creates safer bounce zones for entries.
Square Famâwhat's your fib trade? Want a volume overlay or sentiment poll? Letâs build it together! đ¤
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