When an asset has an 'internal clock' – a mechanism that automatically reduces supply every four years – ignoring it is like refusing to set an alarm before a flight at dawn. In the world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is a prime example of this scarcity rule, and the next halving is expected to occur in late March or early April 2028.
Although there are more than three years left, this is not a time to be complacent. On the contrary, it is an opportunity for disciplined investors to start accumulating and benefiting from early preparation. Below are three core reasons why acting now is a smart strategy.
1. Historical Cycles Favor Those Who Act Early
Historical data from the three previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) shows that Bitcoin often trends strongly upward in the 12 months leading up to halving. According to research from Coinbase, the average increase in the 6 months before halving is 61%, with most momentum coming from about a year before the event. If this rule is applied to the 2028 halving, the ideal starting point would be in March 2027 – just under two years away.
Why Does the Market React Before Halving Occurs?
Because Bitcoin miners know in advance that their revenue will be halved, they tend to hold onto coins or buy more to strengthen reserves. At the same time, long-term holders refuse to sell, while new buyers begin to panic when they see supply decrease. All of this creates a psychological loop driving prices up until halving occurs or there is a major event.
While no one can be sure that the 2028 cycle will repeat exactly, betting that this model will completely disappear also means you believe human nature has changed – which is very unlikely.
2. Strong Upward Momentum After Halving
If the period before halving is a time for accumulation, then the period after halving is truly when the explosion occurs.
In the past, Bitcoin recorded an average increase of up to 348% in the 6 months after halving. The simple reason: new supply is halved, while demand often remains the same or even increases due to media effects and expectations.
This creates a supply-demand imbalance: fewer coins are created each day, miners hold back to sell at higher prices, and buyers are forced to pay higher prices to purchase the limited quantity. The result is a significant price increase until the market finds a new equilibrium.
If the 2028 cycle repeats with only half the strength of previous cycles, then staying on the sidelines during the accumulation phase could cost you significantly more to buy in later.
3. There Is Still Time to Build a Position with Smart Strategies
Knowing that a major event is about to happen does not mean you will invest effectively. The biggest barrier for most investors is still emotion – fear when prices drop, greed when prices rise.
Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) – which means regularly buying a fixed amount regardless of price fluctuations. This is the ideal strategy for Bitcoin, which is known for its strong volatility.
From now until early 2028, there are about 140 weeks left, if you set aside a small portion each week to regularly buy Bitcoin, you are turning volatility into an advantage:
Price drops? → Buy more coins
Price rises? → Portfolio value also increases
Ultimately, you will have a lower average price compared to making a single large purchase, while also eliminating the emotional factor in the investment process.
Conclusion: Act Before It's Too Late
The Bitcoin halving event is a predetermined and predictable event, which is rare in the investment world. But the value of this prediction only makes sense if you act early.
Waiting until the press widely reports 'Tomorrow is halving' is too late to plan, accumulate, or take advantage of the DCA strategy. Starting today, you have a time advantage – the most precious asset in investing.
Remember: Bitcoin does not pay interest, does not guarantee profits, but the rewards always belong to those who understand the rules and persist in acting before the rest of the market realizes.