The price of bitcoin has been operating with high volatility in recent weeks. The cryptocurrency has experienced explosive movement after briefly touching $100,000 in June, while in early July 2025, it recovered to reach a new all-time high.

With this rebound, technical analysts detect a key resistance in the $114,000 area. In fact, several strategists point out that if bitcoin manages to surpass that level, it could trigger a strong additional surge of up to 25%, bringing the price to approximately $143,000. This emerging breakout scenario is supported by favorable chart patterns and underlying factors, keeping investors attentive.

Technical levels and key resistances of bitcoin

In the short term, BTC faces dynamic resistance around $110,000 and $114,000. As the TradingView report clearly states, bitcoin has been consolidating in a sideways channel near $110,000, with immediate support indicated at $106,000.

Breaking through this zone, according to analyst Ed Campbell of Rosenberg Research, would open the way for a new bullish leg. Campbell asserts that breaking the $114,000 barrier (approximately 6% above the current price) would allow for an additional bullish run of around 25%, targeting the historical level of $143,000.

A market research published in early July 2025 reinforces this idea: "Several analysts noted that if bitcoin manages to break $114,000, it could pave the way for a rise of up to 25%, towards $143,000, supported by post-halving momentum, a weakened dollar, and a more favorable regulatory environment."

In other words, traders view $114,000 and $115,000 as an important supply zone, and its breakout would confirm a large-scale bull run.

According to data from Glassnode, $115,000 emerges as the next key resistance if the rise continues. Historically, once a previous all-time high has been surpassed, retracements tend to find support at prior demand levels.

Currently, consumption rounds are identified near $104,000 to $105,000, in addition to technical support around $107,500 and $108,000 indicated by market analysts.

If it falls below these points, some analysts warn that a larger correction could occur. However, for now, the bulls defend the $106,000 and $107,000 zone as key support, keeping the possibility of a new bullish attempt intact.

Catalysts for a bitcoin rally to $143,000

The potential rally towards $143,000 would not depend solely on technical factors. Various macro and market catalysts are aligned with a bullish scenario. Among the most important are:

Weakened dollar: the U.S. dollar index has been falling more than 10% in 2025. This causes investors to seek alternative store-of-value assets; BTC typically attracts flows when the dollar loses strength.

Bitcoin Halving: the phenomenon of the April 2024 halving reduced the supply of new BTC and has been driving demand. Historically, the months following a halving often see strong increases in the price of bitcoin.

Flows to bitcoin ETFs: since the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in 2024, large institutional funds have injected enormous flows (over $45 billion in accumulated inflows). This increasing institutional volume suggests sustained demand that can support high prices.

Expectations of rate cuts: markets are pricing in that the Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates towards the end of the year. An environment of lower rates typically favors risk assets, including bitcoin.

Positive regulatory environment: in the United States, a friendlier stance towards crypto-assets is perceived, while in Europe, the MiCA regulation creates a harmonized framework that provides clarity and protection to the market. These changes reduce regulatory uncertainty and can attract more capital to the sector.

How the MiCA regulation can support the rise in bitcoin price

The Regulation on Cryptoasset Markets (MiCA) came into effect in 2025 as the first comprehensive regulatory framework of the European Union for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Its goal is to harmonize rules across all member states, eliminating the regulatory fragmentation that previously forced exchanges to register country by country.

MiCA introduces uniform rules that make the buying and selling of crypto-assets safer. It also provides a coherent oversight framework and ensures greater protection for users, both retail and institutional. This new regulatory environment boosts European investor confidence and is paving the way for greater adoption.

Thanks to obtaining the MiCAR license, the largest exchanges in Europe, such as Bitvavo, operate under a uniform regulatory framework that enhances user protection, ensures transparency, and eliminates the need for separate registrations in each European country.

Bitvavo: one of the first with MiCAR license

The Dutch exchange Bitvavo stands out as one of the favorites among European traders. It has been one of the first to obtain the MiCAR license issued by the Netherlands Financial Markets Authority (AFM).

"This license represents an important milestone for Bitvavo and our users," said Jeetan Patel, Risk Director of the platform. "It allows us to offer our services across Europe under a single license, ensuring compliance with MiCAR regulatory requirements."

In this context, Bitvavo does not just comply with the highest regulatory standards, but has also become the exchange with the largest market share in Europe, reaching more than 50% market participation and surpassing giants like Binance.

This combination of leadership, regulatory compliance, and focus on user experience positions it as the strongest option for those trading cryptocurrencies in Europe.

Bitvavo already had registrations in countries like France, Italy, Austria, and Spain. Now, with the MiCAR license, it is positioned to expand its reach even further.

Founded in 2018 in Amsterdam, Bitvavo has nearly two million users and has established itself as the largest exchange in the cash euro market, with a secure, intuitive, and low-cost platform.

Short-term bitcoin outlook

Together, technical analysis and fundamentals point to a high interest environment for buying BTC. As long as the underlying bullish trend and market support (for example, the demand detected in $100,000–$105,000) hold, bitcoin would have potential to continue rising.

A sustained month-end close above $114,000 would be a sign of strength, paving the way for new all-time highs. If this breakout is confirmed, specialists project a target level of $143,000 as the next objective.

However, experts remind us that there is volatility and risk: sharp price drops or a sudden change in macro conditions (for example, an unexpected dollar rebound or delay in rate cuts) could halt the rise.

Additionally, the concentrated liquidity in certain ranges (large orders near $115,000) acts as a magnet for short corrections. Therefore, technical analysts recommend monitoring key daily and weekly closes, as well as momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) and on-chain levels (such as investor cost history).

In summary, bitcoin is at a decisive moment. It is close to a historical resistance that, if broken, would catapult it to unprecedented levels. Current technical and economic factors favor a bullish continuation: from lower post-halving supply to dollar weakness and even the arrival of a solid European regulatory framework (as evidenced by the license granted to Bitvavo).

For traders and investors, the level of $114,000 and $115,000 appears as the dividing line between a consolidation scenario and one of an explosive bullish move towards $143,000.

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