$XRP 8.57% 24-hour surge to $2.80 is driven by Ripple’s U.S. banking license application, whale accumulation, and bullish technical patterns.
Regulatory catalyst: Ripple’s banking license bid signals institutional credibility.
Whale activity: 190M XRP accumulated by large wallets in one week.
Technical breakout: Ascending triangle pattern targets $3.20–$3.40.
Deep Dive
1. Primary catalyst
Ripple’s application for a U.S. national bank charter (submitted July 11) aims to establish dual oversight from the OCC and NYDFS (Ripple). This reduces regulatory uncertainty – a longstanding headwind – and aligns with RLUSD stablecoin growth (now $500M circulation).
2. Supporting factors
Whale accumulation: Addresses holding 1–10M XRP added 190M tokens (6.08B → 6.27B) since July 5 (Santiment).
Derivates activity: XRP futures open interest hit $743M (+33% since June 22), signaling leveraged bullish bets.
Altcoin momentum: ETH’s 17% weekly gain and BTC’s $118K ATH created risk-on conditions for large caps.
3. Technical context
Pattern: 4-hour chart shows ascending triangle with $2.50 resistance – breakout above targets $3.20–$3.40.
Momentum: RSI(14) at 78.41 (overbought threshold: 70) suggests stretched valuations but confirms strong buying pressure.
Liquidation fuel: $31M short positions liquidated during the surge, amplifying upside.
Conclusion
XRP’s rally combines regulatory progress, whale conviction, and technical momentum – but RSI warns of potential consolidation.
Will RLUSD adoption and banking approvals help XRP decouple from BTC’s volatility in Q3?