The battle is about to ignite with double thunder
The Middle East powder keg enters countdown: Iran acknowledged receiving negotiation signals from the US this morning, but the Wall Street Journal reveals the deadly truth - Israel has the White House's tacit approval, and Iran's restart of nuclear arms will immediately face airstrikes! This treacherous play, which caused BTC to plummet 12% in one day in March.
The Russia-Ukraine war escalates simultaneously: Ukraine confirms that the Russian army launched 623 drones and missiles at night, setting a record for the highest airstrike in half a year. History does not lie - a bombing of the same scale in February caused BTC to evaporate 12% in two days.
Even more deadly is the Federal Reserve's stab: If CPI exceeds 3.4% (previous value 3.3%) at 21:30 tonight, the probability of a rate cut in September will drop below 68%, and the combination of war and high interest rates will become a double noose for the crypto circle!
The market flashes three major death signals
Staring at the sideways K-line on your screen, these signals are screaming danger:
117700 meat grinder defense line has been oscillating with needle spikes for 6 hours, a classic dog trader slaughterhouse - the same position on July 10 caused a fake breakout that ignited 580 million long positions;
1-hour trading volume plummeted 40% year-on-year, with the dealer replicating the low-volume lure and slaughter script;
118800 has 28,000 BTC pressure orders hanging (checkable on-chain), equivalent to a $3 billion sell wall sealing off the upward space.
Tonight's life-and-death script and survival rules
If CPI exceeds expectations: Panic will break through the 116000 retail cost line, and a waterfall drop straight to 114000 (starting at -3%).
If missiles rise in the Middle East: BTC will crash to 108000 (starting at -8%), although this is the institutional bottom-seeking zone in March, the current battle situation is exponentially more dangerous!
Special warning of the scorpion rebound trap: Dog traders may rush to 119000 to lure in buyers, then instantly stab down to 115500 to slaughter retail investors - last week, a certain millionaire KOL was liquidated to zero here.
Immediately enforce two iron rules:
Current price 117700 must set a stop loss, decisively cut positions if it falls below 116000;
Bottom-seeking needs to wait for the panic index > 60 and daily liquidations exceeding 1 billion.
Convergence's hedging strategy has already gained 37% floating profit at 117750, tonight will monitor three major life-and-death coordinates: missile radar wave frequency + on-chain pressure order anomalies + insider communication from the Federal Reserve.
Pay attention to convergence!!! Then come tell me if you want to get escape positions??!! Do you want to be a blood and tears number on the liquidation list, or a winner on the doubling list?
I am convergence, the blood-dripping hunter of the market!!