Core Logic: Why 164 and 163?
164 Long Signal
Bollinger Band Middle Support: Current BOLL middle line at 161.62, price stabilizing at 164 will break the short-term downtrend line
MACD Reversal Signal: DIFF is about to cross above DEA, green bars shrinking indicate bearish exhaustion
Volume Verification: A breakout needs to be accompanied by volume > 1 million (the purple volume bar in the chart meets the standard)
163 Short Signal
Previous Low Psychological Level: 163.54 is a support/resistance conversion level tested multiple times recently
Bollinger Band Upper Resistance: A 'false breakout trap' formed below UB (167.94), rebounding to 163 faces pressure
Open Position Ratio 2.81: When retail bulls account for an excessively high proportion, the win rate for opening shorts skyrockets
Data Verification: AI indicators issued clear instructions
BOLL Contraction Change: Bandwidth narrows to a critical value, violent fluctuations are imminent
VOLUME-MA5 Golden Cross: Current trading volume is about to cross above MA5, a precursor to a bullish comeback
Hidden Divergence: Price makes a new low but MACD does not break the previous low, indicating major players are accumulating
Practical Operation Manual
Conditions to Trigger Long
Price breaks above 164 and MACD forms a golden cross
Order Suggestion: Long at 164.20, stop loss at 163.00, target at 166.60
Conditions to Trigger Short
Price rebounds weakly after breaking below 163.50
Order Suggestion: Short at 163.00, stop loss at 164.50, target at 160.80
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Risk Warning
Beware of the time between 3-6 AM Beijing time
When SOL chain gas fees surge, it may trigger programmatic selling
Single Position ≤ 5%, avoid emotional over-leverage
