News Nuclear Explosion: Interest rate cut expectations VS tariff landmines
Positive Accumulation:
Trump + Federal Reserve triple bombardment:
Trump calls on the 10th: 'The Federal Reserve should cut interest rates quickly'
Federal Reserve's Waller, Daly, and Referee continuously signal within 24 hours: July interest rate cut probability ↑↑, hinting at 'two cuts this autumn'
Market Reaction: Interest rate cut expectations push BTC close to the 120,000 mark (currently reported at 117,989 USDT)
Negative Underflow:
EU Tariff Crisis: Trump plans to impose a 17% tariff on EU agricultural products (higher than the UK's 10%), negotiations are on the brink of collapse!
Tonight at 20:30 US PPI: If inflation rebounds, interest rate cut expectations will collapse instantly!
Technical Strangulation: 120,000 becomes the 'Whale Graveyard', two major signals for a battle between bulls and bears!
(Combined with chart 270 Fibonacci key points)
Bull Ultimate Barrier:
120,000: Psychological integer threshold, and also a 100% Fibonacci pressure point (116,426)
Evidence of Huge Selling Pressure: Dense orders from major players in the 117,990 area, a breakthrough requires massive buying!
Short Bomb Zone:
Breaking below 116,000 (76.4% support): Will trigger a bull stampede, plunging to 114,226 (61.8%) → 112,928 (50%)
Death Watershed: 110,026 (23.6%) falling = crash to the abyss of 108,000!
Iron Hawk Future Analysis: Two types of nuclear explosion scripts
Breakthrough Script:
Condition: PPI data ≤ expected + Federal Reserve officials continue to be dovish
Route: Break through the sell wall at 117,990 → Lightning breakthrough at 120,000 → Target 122,000
Action: Chase long positions after breaking 118,000, stop loss at 116,500
Nuclear Drop Script:
Condition: PPI exceeds expectations + EU tariff war escalates
Route: Smash through 116,000 → Panic selling down to 114,226 → Bloodbath to see 112,000
Action: Short at 117,500, stop loss at 118,500, target 112,000 (risk-reward ratio 5:1!)
Iron Hawk Insights: 120,000 is the 'Hope Meat Grinder'! Retail investors beware of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact'—before the interest rate cut materializes, using good news to offload is a common tactic of whales!
Not paying attention? If you miss me, your bottom-fishing posture can only rely on the winds from the rooftop for a photo op
$BTC