#突破交易策略 The news from the Federal Reserve is caught in a tug-of-war between dovish and hawkish sentiments. The rally over the past two months has mostly occurred during the early morning hours. After the price of Bitcoin surged to 112,000 and faced resistance, it has since retraced, and there has not yet been an effective breakthrough above. At this point, without a clear operational strategy, it is easy to fall into a passive situation of being trapped and forced to hold on.
From the daily chart, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have entered a narrow consolidation phase, with the range of fluctuations continuously narrowing, which is a typical contracting oscillation pattern. Switching to the 4-hour cycle, the oscillation range has tightened further, and the market is at a critical point of choosing a direction. Specifically for Bitcoin, a strong resistance has formed near the upward trend line. Although the price briefly touched this area, the rebound momentum is clearly lagging, and continued sideways movement may actually strengthen the resistance effect.
Overall, in the short term, it is highly likely that the market will remain in a wide-ranging oscillation with back-and-forth movements, and the possibility of a one-sided rise in the near term is low. This oscillation may even continue until the end of the monthly candle. Considering the current market situation, it is recommended to primarily focus on shorting at highs, seizing opportunities to short when the price rises within the range.