Current situation (July 11, 2025):
- Price: ~5.50–5.70 USD (based on current data).
- Context: RNDR is the token of Render Network, a decentralized platform on Ethereum and Solana for rendering graphics using AI and GPU computing. Launched in 2020, it focuses on 3D animation, GameFi, NFTs, and metaverses. Market capitalization: ~2.1–2.3 billion USD (rank ~30–40). Trading volume: ~100–150 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~383 million RNDR, max: 532 million. The price has fallen by ~65% from ATH (13.53 USD, March 2024), but the recent increase of 5–10% is associated with the listing on Binance and AI hype.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 12.00–25.00 USD (growth of 120–350%) in a bull market with growth in AI/GameFi.
- Neutral: 8.00–15.00 USD (growth of 45–170%).
- Pessimistic: 3.00–4.50 USD in case of correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 5.00–5.50 USD, 3.50–4.00 USD.
- Resistance: 7.00–8.00 USD, 10.00–12.00 USD.
- Trend: Bullish on daily/weekly charts (RSI ~55–65, 50 MA above 200 MA). MACD shows slowing, potential consolidation. Breakout at 7.00 USD may signal growth, drop below 5.00 USD — correction.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- AI and rendering: RNDR offers decentralized GPU computing for 3D, metaverses, and AI content.
- Partnerships: Binance, Coinbase, Chainlink, Solana, integration with Apple Vision Pro and NVIDIA.
- Ecosystem: growth in activity (TVL ~50–100 million USD), 1.5 million rendering tasks in 2024.
- Community: Positive on X (@RenderNetwork, @CryptoGemsCom) highlights the listing on Binance and the potential for 2–3x growth.
- BTC Halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Institutions: support from a16z, Grayscale (RNDR in the fund).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify RNDR as a security.
- Volatility: market capitalization (~2.2 billion USD) is vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: Akash Network, Golem in decentralized computing.
- Unlocks: ~100 million USD in 2025 may pressure the price.
- Dependence on hype: decline in interest in AI/metaverses may reduce demand.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on correction to 5.00–5.50 USD, stop below 3.50 USD. Target: 10.00–15.00 USD. Staking (APR ~5–10%, if available) for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 7.00 USD, target 10.00–12.00 USD. Sell below 5.00 USD, target 3.50–4.00 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit due to volatility and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, decline of AI hype, drop in BTC/ETH.