It's not bad luck; you simply don't understand the essence of trading! This low-risk rule, condensed from ten years of trading experience, will completely change your understanding of contract trading—liquidation is never the market's fault, but a ticking time bomb you planted yourself.
Three Major Truths That Disrupt Understanding
Leverage ≠ Risk: Position Size is the Lifeline
Using 1% position with 100x leverage, the actual risk is only equivalent to 1% of a full spot position. A student used 20x leverage to trade ETH, investing only 2% of capital each time, with three years and zero liquidations. Core Formula: Real Risk = Leverage × Position Ratio.
Stop Loss ≠ Loss: The Ultimate Insurance for the Account
In the March 2024 crash, the common feature of 78% of liquidated accounts: losses exceeded 5% without setting a stop loss. Professional trader's rule: Single loss must not exceed 2% of capital, equivalent to setting a 'circuit fuse' for the account.
Rolling Positions ≠ All-In: The Correct Way to Compound Interest
Ladder Positioning Model: Start with 10% for trial and error, increase position by 10% of profits. Initial capital of 50,000 with first position of 5,000 (10x leverage), add 500 for every 10% profit. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, total position only expands by 10%, but safety margin increases by 30%.
Institution-Level Risk Control Model
Dynamic Position Formula
Total Position ≤ (Capital × 2%) / (Stop Loss Range × Leverage)
Example: For 50,000 capital, 2% stop loss, 10x leverage, the maximum position calculated is = 50000 × 0.02 / (0.02 × 10) = 5,000.
Three-Step Take Profit Method
1. Close 1/3 of Position at 20% Profit 2. Close another 1/3 at 50% Profit 3. Move Stop Loss on Remaining Position (Exit if breaking the 5-day line)
In the 2024 halving market, this strategy increased 50,000 capital to one million across two trends, yielding over 1900%.
Hedging Insurance Mechanism
When holding positions, use 1% of capital to buy Put options, which can hedge 80% of extreme risks. In the April 2024 black swan event, this strategy successfully saved 23% of account net value.
Fatal Trap Data Empirical Evidence
Holding a Position for 4 Hours: Liquidation Probability Increases to 92%
High-Frequency Trading: Monthly Average of 500 Trades Results in 24% Capital Loss
Profit Greed: 83% of Profits Eaten Away by Not Taking Timely Profits
IV. Mathematical Expression of Trading Essence
Expected Profit = (Win Rate × Average Profit) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss)
When setting a 2% stop loss and a 20% take profit, only a 34% win rate is needed to achieve positive returns. Professional traders achieve an annual return of over 400% through strict stop losses (average loss of 1.5%) and trend capturing (average profit of 15%).
Ultimate Rule:
Single Loss ≤ 2%
Annual Trades ≤ 20
Profit/Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
70% of the Time in Cash Waiting
The essence of the market is a probability game; smart traders use 2% risk to capture trend dividends. Remember: Control your losses, and profits will run. Establish a mechanical trading system, allowing discipline to replace emotional decision-making—this is the ultimate answer for sustained profit.
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