Yesterday's article (Bitcoin historical high, can it go higher? Wif outperforms most coins!) pointed out that Bitcoin and Ethereum can still reach a new high.
I have always said that altcoins will start a bear market in March 2024, this view has not changed, but bear markets also have rebounds. Sometimes the rebounds can be very fierce. Many people see me talk about the bear market and do random shorting, and then blame me for being bearish; I am really speechless!
Recent articles have been saying that it will rise before it falls, not that it will fall immediately! There was no big fall from July 22 to August 1! Many people think it will fall immediately and then blame me, I just laughed!
Many people hold on when their contracts are in loss. In fact, you should stop loss when necessary and buy back at a better position. When buying back, just focus on the position size! Position size! Position size! Not on the margin amount. If you are fully invested, the margin amount when buying back will definitely decrease, but after buying back, if you slightly increase the leverage while keeping the position size consistent, you will actually incur no loss, and you won't need to hold the position. You have changed to a better position, which is more favorable for future profits (as long as you don't use too high leverage when opening positions).
After I reminded to take profits and close shorts on July 9, I went long on Bitcoin and Wif, and yesterday I also went long on a certain doubling coin and made over a dozen points! The tenfold coin from a few days ago also made 32%!
Wif is about to make a 20% profit, approaching an extreme position!
Yesterday's article (Bitcoin historical high, can it go higher? Wif outperforms most coins!) pointed out that Bitcoin and Ethereum can still reach a new high.
Bitcoin has two possible trends, one of which is higher than the high point mentioned in yesterday's article (the chicken rib market, each day from July 22 to August 1 was torturous!).
Ethereum has three types of trends, one of which rebounds not exceeding 2820.36, and the other two allow for significant exceedance of 2820.36! The rebound after Ethereum 2111.89 is at the same level as the rebound from 1385.05 to 2879.22! Everyone must pay attention!】
The increase in Bitcoin and Ethereum is also within the expected range of yesterday's wave pattern:
What's the next step? See the ideas below, I will post the latest real-time analysis in () for everyone to check in () :
How to judge the top? The article (important ideas for judging Bitcoin's rise to the top) has long provided you with methods.
No matter how the wave shape changes, the ideas below remain unchanged:
(1) The rebound after 98200 has three upward segments, or even five upward segments!
(2) The rebound level after 98200 is the same as the rebound level from 74508 to 111980, which means that only when the daily MACD crosses down can you determine the final top.
(3) Bitcoin not falling back to the upper rail of the fractal center at 109700 cannot confirm that it has reached a temporary top.
(4) If the 4-hour MACD of Bitcoin crosses down, it indicates a temporary top; if the 4-hour MACD is about to cross down and the 1-hour MACD has already crossed down, it can predict that the rebound has reached a temporary top.
(5) Reaching a temporary top can mean a short-term small-level top or it can be the ultimate big top. Any ultimate top starts from a small-level top, with the level unchanged and expanding, eventually becoming the ultimate big-level top.
(6) Even if it reaches the top from July 22 to August 1, Bitcoin will not immediately fall sharply, it will mainly decline gradually.
Many people say, I have always held on, and I earn more than my wif? Is that really the case?
When the market is good, it's not surprising that you earn a bit more than my Wif, because in the bear market I am diligent, fearing losses; we strive to earn more without losing money. I won't promote many coins; the ones I promote are all understandable coins!
When the market is not good, if you are greedy, adding positions at high points or unwilling to sell when in profit, you are just afraid that profit will turn into a loss, right? Such things happen all the time! In December 2025, who knows how many people stood at high positions and were unwilling to leave the market? Earlier this year, only one out of ten remained, now it has become one out of twenty or one out of thirty, and still no return!
In the bear market, we still need to respect the market. If you don't understand the technology, just earn a wave and leave, don't be too greedy. Greed is the source of losing money! Everyone encourage each other!
The latest heavenly diagram is as follows:
💡 Note: Investing is like walking at night; always carry the lantern of 'risk awareness', stay away from trading fog, and refuse to blindly chase the light.
If you have ever floated in the sea of desire, like 👍 + follow 'Xiao Bai learns points', leave a glimmer in the comments, and share it so that more people can see it—life is worth it, and you don't have to bet your life.
