Four years ago, I was a complete 'technical slave'—watching the market for 18 hours a day, studying over 30 indicators, and drawing thousands of trend lines. The result? I got liquidated three times, lost 80% of my capital, and my hair fell out faster than my account balance.
Until I met a seasoned veteran with a net worth over 100 million, who threw me a line: 'In the crypto world, smart people are working for fools!'
He taught me the '343 Batch Investment Method,' simple enough to be a joke. But it was this method that allowed my 200,000 capital to grow against the trend in a bear market, eventually rolling up to 50 million!
1. Blood and tears lesson: Why does technical analysis kill people?
1. Indicator conflict: MACD golden cross while KDJ dead cross, RSI overbought but Bollinger Bands are opening
2. The dealer draws lines: Whenever you discover a 'perfect pattern,' the next second you get precisely targeted
3. Emotional loss of control: After five consecutive stop-losses, I finally couldn't help but go all-in—resulting in a crash at the very bottom
2. The 343 Batch Investment Method (practical breakdown)
Core philosophy:
- Give up on predictions, defeat the market with position management
- Treat funds like an army, deploy them in batches to the battlefield
Specific steps:
Phase one: 30% scouts (tentative investment)
- Only choose TOP10 mainstream coins (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB)
- Buy 30% of the position at the weekly support level
- ✖️ No all-in bets! Case: The 2022 LUNA incident, all-in parties went straight to zero
Phase two: 40% main forces (cost averaging strategy)
- In a rising market: Increase position by 10% when it retraces to the 7-day moving average
- In a falling market: Increase position by 10% for every 10% drop (maximum of 4 times)
- Key: Must calculate the price level for additional investments in advance, write it into the trading plan
Phase three: 30% airborne troops (trend chasing)
- When the coin price stabilizes above the 30-day moving average and the trading volume increases
- Invest the remaining 30% in one go
- Immediately set a trailing stop-loss (recommended to start 20% above the cost price)
3. Why is this method counterintuitive yet effective?
1. Overcoming FOMO mentality: Batch investments always have bullets, preventing forced losses
2. Utilize market sentiment: When retail investors panic and sell, you are accumulating at low cost
3. Mathematical advantage: A 20% drop followed by a 25% rebound can break even, while an all-in requires a 100% increase
Four, three life-saving principles
1. Only play mainstream coins: Anything outside the top 10 by market cap is gambling
2. Never go all-in: Always keep 20% cash to respond to extreme market conditions
3. Withdraw regularly: Withdraw 50% of the principal every time you profit 100%
Now it's your turn to take action!
Put down those complex indicators, prepare an Excel sheet, and start executing this 'stupid method' tomorrow. Remember: In the crypto world, slow is fast, and being stupid is actually smart.
I am @老顾财经 , skilled in short to medium-term contract trading, sharing investment tips and detailed strategy teaching daily.