News front: Dual nuclear bomb points ignite skyrocketing market!
Fed interest rate cut signal strikes
Released last night at 02:32June meeting minutesignite the market:"Some participants are willing to consider rate cuts next month"! Although some officials still have concerns about inflation,"Rate cuts this year may be appropriate"hawkish turn directly stimulates a frenzy in risk assets. ETH, as a high Beta asset, instantly attracts capital and surges!Trump's tariffs "black swan" forces safe-haven buying
04:26 Trump strikes8 countries launch tariff warespecially againstBrazil's tariffs spike from 10% to 50%! He stated in the letter: "Brazil attacks American freedom of speech" targeting social media censorship. Amid escalating global trade frictions,cryptocurrency becomes a new safe haven choice— funds pouring into ETH to hedge fiat currency volatility risks, driving prices to break resistance!
Technical front: MACD golden cross confirms bullish trend, key position locked in!
Bullish engine starts:
MACD indicator DIF crosses above DEA, histogram expands to 12.14, forming a strong "air refueling" pattern! Daily close firmly above 2784 confirms a short-term ascending channel.
Key price defense line:
Upside target: If it breaks through the daily high of 2785.92, it will challenge the psychological barrier of 2800, with the weekly BOLL upper band in sight. Once stabilized with volume, the 2850-2900 previous high resistance zone can be expected!
Downward support: The first defense line is at 2781.90 yesterday's low + intraday MA30; if breached, it will retrace to 2750. In extreme conditions, 2708 must have bulls holding the line!
Market forecast: Bull vs Bear showdown at 2800, two major scenarios laid out in advance!
Bullish scenario:
If the Fed's interest rate cut expectations continue to ferment, coupled with escalating geopolitical conflicts, ETH will take advantage and break through 2800, accelerating to 2850-2900 as community indicators show institutional buying accumulation.
Bearish scenario:
If Trump's tariffs provoke retaliation from multiple countries causing panic, or if tonight's US CPI data exceeds expectations, it may retrace to 2750. However, there is a massive amount of short positions near 2708 that could trigger a rebound if there is a deep drop!
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