🚨 Beware of the deadly calm! 💹 The market is ignoring the biggest seasonal risk of the year!
The markets look prosperous and everyone expects the calm to continue in July... but is this the calm before the storm? 🌪️
Historical data of the Fear Index (VIX) reveals a completely different reality that may surprise many!$ETH
🤔 Analysis: What does the history of the Fear Index (VIX) reveal?
The chart shows the average change in the Fear Index (volatility) during each quarter of the year. The pattern is clear and concerning:
First Quarter (Q1): Slight increase in volatility.
Second Quarter (Q2): Period of calm and decrease in volatility.
Third Quarter (Q3): 💥 Explosion! 💥 Historically, this is the quarter that sees the largest jump in volatility and fear in the markets!
Fourth Quarter (Q4): Return to relative calm and decrease in volatility.
🔥 The dangerous paradox: Market expectations vs. historical reality$BTC $BNB
Current Situation: Market expectations (SPX implied moves) indicate low volatility in July. The markets appear to be "frothy" and possibly "overconfident".
The lurking risk (Lurking Volatility): We are now at the beginning of the third quarter (Q3), which has historically been the most violent period for the markets!
The current calm may be a trap. History says that violent volatility may be lurking and ready to emerge at any moment during this quarter. 🎯#BTCBreaksATH