📊 OVERVIEW

• Current Price: $157.46 (+3.91%)

• 24h High: $157.93

• 24h Low: $150.53

• Volume: 2.90M SOL – rising interest

• Key Resistance Touched: $157.93

• Bollinger Upper Band: $156.47 → price is breaking above

🔍 TECHNICAL INDICATORS (4H)

1. Bollinger Bands (21,2)

• Upper Band: $156.47 → SOL is now trading above it

• Middle Band: $151.91 → Possible support if pullback

• Lower Band: $147.34

➡️ Strong breakout above Bollinger Bands often signals high momentum – but risk of short-term exhaustion.

2. RSI Levels

• RSI(6): 85.89 → Extremely overbought

• RSI(12): 73.75 → Overbought

• RSI(24): 63.20 → Strong

➡️ Current RSI(6) above 85 is a major red flag for potential short-term correction despite bullish trend.

3. Volume & MA

• Volume: 417K – High but not spiking aggressively

• MA(5): 531,121 > MA(10): 508,491 → Uptrend confirmed

➡️ MA crossover + volume growth = confirms strength, but RSI overheated

⚠️ KEY INSIGHT

SOL just broke above upper Bollinger band with RSI over 85.

This is typically a late-stage impulse within a strong move — highly bullish but near a local peak.

🔮 POTENTIAL SCENARIOS

✅ SCENARIO 1: Continuation breakout

• If SOL holds above $157.9 for next 2–4 candles:

• Target: $160 – $164 (psychological + fib zone)

• RSI(6) may stay elevated (80+) if volume rises again

⚠️ SCENARIO 2: Pullback from overbought

• If SOL fails to hold $157.9, watch for retracement:

• First support: $154 – $151.9 (Bollinger middle band)

• RSI(6) cools back below 75

📌 STRATEGY IDEA

Action Condition Target Stop-loss

Buy Close above $158 with strong volume $160 – $164 $154.5

Short Rejection at $157.9 + RSI turning down $152 – $150

$SOL #solana