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1. 📊 Recent context analysis

Current price (≈ $0.286):

Slightly upward, with intraday range between $0.25–$0.29.

In April–May, a technical rebound was observed (+25%), with an increase in futures and institutional interest.

Indicators: RSI neutral (~55), MACD shows recent bullish crossover. Bollinger bands compact anticipate movement.

Fundamentals:

Adoption of Soroban (smart contracts), TVL > $54M, stablecoins USDC on the network.

Key partnerships (Franklin Templeton, Circle, IBM, MoneyGram).

Accumulation signals on-chain (withdrawal of $20M from exchanges).

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2. 📌 Trading Strategy

a) Entry zones

Main entry: $0.28 – 0.29

Aggressive entry (pullback): $0.275 – 0.28, near the technical support shown by moving averages.

b) Protection stops

Below $0.27 (S1/S2 point according to technical analysis).

Alternative: more conservative stop below $0.265 (recent lows).

c) Profit targets

1. First target: $0.32–0.33 (intermediate resistance, previous sell-off zone).

2. Second target: $0.38–0.40 (key resistance, round psychological level).

3. Ambitious/long term: $0.50–0.60 if a clear breakout and strong bullish momentum is confirmed.

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3. 🛠️ Position and risk management

Size: do not risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.

Scaling tactic: staggered buying (zonal) taking advantage of pullbacks between $0.28–$0.275–$0.27.

Dynamic stops: once profit +10%, move stop to breakeven or +5%.

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4. 📈 Conditions to hold or exit

Hold position if:

Price maintains supports at $0.27–$0.28 and breaks resistances with a good signal (volume, technical confirmation).

Adoption continues fluidly (new TVL, partnerships, positive news).

Exit completely if:

Decisive break below $0.265 with volume, indicating invalidation of the scenario.

Progress towards targets, especially if it reaches $0.32–$0.33, and is rejected without continuity towards $0.38.

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5. ⏱️ Time frames

Short term (1d–4h): ideal for first targets.

Medium term (1d–1s): for zone $0.38–$0.40.

Long term (1s and beyond): if it paves the way to $0.50–$0.60, hold part for possible extension.

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6. 🔍 Continuous monitoring

Watch key indicators: RSI, MACD, volume, on-chain markers (exchange flows).

Stay alert to news that impacts the adoption of Stellar or institutional appetite for XLM.

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📅 Summary of the plan

Action Price Condition

Buy 0.275–0.29 Support and signals of technical/fundamental accumulation

Stop-Loss < 0.265 Protection against invalidation of the setup

Take Profit 1 0.32–0.33 Technical resistance zone

Take Profit 2 0.38–0.40 New psychological and technical level

Take Profit 3 0.50–0.60 Clear breakout and strong momentum

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🚨 Important: this is not financial advice

Do your own research (DYOR). Adjust amounts and levels according to your risk profile and situation. The crypto market is volatile and can change rapidly.

#Spot #trading #StrategicTrading #X $XLM