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1. 🎯 Target and horizon
Main objective: Take advantage of the breakout if UNI surpasses key technical resistance, or protect capital in bearish scenarios.
Horizon: Medium term (days to weeks), adjusting to short when technical signals arise.
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2. 📊 Current technical context
UNI is trading around $8.18, after breaking resistance around ~$7.56/7.70 – historical levels since March and July. Currently faces critical resistance between $8.00–8.50.
Technically:
Possible breakout above $8.00–8.50 validates momentum towards the 10–14 USD zone.
Alternatively, a rising wedge pattern could cause a drop to $4.60–6.00 if support at $6.08–6.90 is broken.
Expanding ecosystem: progress of Uniswap v4, significant movement of old tokens, increased whale interest.
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3. 🧭 Entry strategy
A. Long entry (buy)
Condition 1: Daily closing price > $8.00 with robust volume (> daily average).
Stop-loss: around $7.26, recent support.
First exit target: $10, aligned with forecasts and technical structure.
If the rally strengthens: adjust stop to breakeven and look at the $11.48–14.00 zone.
B. Short entry (sell)
Condition 1: Break below $6.90–6.80 with volume expansion.
Initial target: $6.04, risk of falling to $4.60.
Stop-loss: just above $7.40–7.50 (recent lateral structure).
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4. ⚙️ Risk management
Position size: risk only 1–3% of total capital per trade with the initial stop.
Daily review of volume and market signals: MACD, RSI, ADX.
Immediate transfer of UNI to private wallet if entry level is surpassed to avoid exchange risks.
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5. 🛠️ Optional complement with DCA
For long-term accumulation positions, Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) can be applied in weekly or bi-weekly intervals between $7.00–8.00.
Ideal for reducing the impact of volatility and averaging the cost.
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6. 📈 Monitoring and adjustments
Signal Action
Weekly close +10% at resistance Adjust stop to breakeven and follow until $11–14 zone
Confirmed bearish wedge pattern Cut long position and evaluate short entry
Positive news or development in v4 Reinforce bullish strategy
Outbreaks of extreme volatility Reduce exposure (unless technical confirmation)
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📝 Summary
1. Buy if it breaks and confirms >$8.00 with stop around ~7.26. Target 10, extend to 11–14.
2. Short if it breaks <6.90–6.80 with stop ~7.40. Target down to 6.04 and potential 4.60.
3. DCA as a parallel strategy for gradual accumulation.
4. Strict risk management with stops based on technical structure.
5. Constant review of indicators and news about Uniswap v4 and whale activity.
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This plan combines real technical analysis, risk management, and a dual approach (tactical + accumulation). You can adapt it according to your capital, risk tolerance, and horizon.
#Spot #trading #StrategicTrading #UNI $UNI
