#TrendTradingStrategy

Golden and Death Crosses: The S&P 500 recently formed a golden cross—its 50‑day moving average crossing above the 200‑day—for the first time since Feb 2023. Historically, this signal has preceded continued gains ~70% of the time, with average returns of +14.7% when used in conjunction with a death‑cross exit strategy .

Trend‑Following Managers Stumble: Many CTAs (managed futures funds) faced losses through April 2025 due to market whipsaws; the TTU Trend Index is down ~9.4% YTD . However, discretionary macro funds have outperformed by flexibly shifting positions .