🚀 $BTC Technical Analysis (2025/07/09)
BTC edged above 109k, sustaining its uptrend on 12H/4H. Short-term Stoch is overbought – favor buying dips with breakout entries as secondary.
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🔷 【12H Trend: Small Bull】
• Trading above EMA9/21/200 and daily pivot
• Momentum building towards R1
📈 LONG Setup:
• SL: 108,897 (below pivot)
• Add: 109,000 (triggered), 109,200, 109,400
• Breakout Entry: 111,445
• TP: 111,445 / 113,706 / 116,584
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🔷 【4H Trend: Medium Bull】
• Holds above EMA9/21/200 + VWAP
• Series of higher lows, continue to favor longs
📈 LONG Setup:
• SL: 108,637 (below EMA21)
• Add: 109,031 (VWAP, triggered), 108,817 (EMA9, triggered), 108,637 (EMA21, triggered)
• Breakout Entry: 109,500 (prior high)
• TP: 111,445 / 113,706 / 116,584
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🔷 【1H Trend: Small Bull】
• Trading above EMA21 + pivot, bullish RSI/MACD
• Stoch overbought → caution for minor pullback
📈 LONG Setup:
• SL: 108,805 (below EMA21)
• Add: 109,000 / 109,200 / 109,300
• Breakout Entry: 109,498 (swing high)
• TP: 110,000 / 111,000 / 112,000
🔻 SHORT Setup:
• SL: 109,498 (above swing high)
• Add: 109,300 / 109,200
• Breakdown Entry: 108,026 (S1)
• TP: 108,000 / 107,500 / 107,000
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✅ Strategy Recommendations:
1. Long-term bullish bias remains – buy dips into 109,000–109,200, SL below 108,897
2. On 4H, stay long; break above 111,445 → 113,706
3. Short-term, wait for Stoch to cool <50 or pullback to EMA21 for scaling in
4. Break below 108,026 flips bias bearish – consider light shorts, SL above 109,498
5. Scale positions, remain flexible, enforce strict risk management
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