Key Points

  • Institutional capital inflow, increased open contracts, strong on-chain demand, and declining BTC supply indicate a favorable outlook, suggesting that Bitcoin prices may continue to rise driven by smart money accumulation.

Global demand for Bitcoin [BTC] has been steadily rising.

Institutions and cryptocurrency giants are increasingly accumulating BTC, while the adoption of traditional finance continues to grow.

This trend is reflected in the surge of open positions in the cryptocurrency market.

Recently, BlackRock has increased its holdings by approximately 1,388 Bitcoins, worth about $164.3 million, reflecting strong institutional interest in BTC.

Meanwhile, on-chain whale activity has significantly increased, with several large wallets buying substantial amounts of Bitcoin.

This synchronized buying behavior often reflects the strong confidence of seasoned and well-capitalized investors in Bitcoin's long-term value, commonly referred to as 'smart money' quietly accumulating.

From the derivatives market perspective, the number of Bitcoin open contracts (Open Interest, OI) continues to rise, supporting the enhanced market demand.

Over the past month, open interest has continued to rise steadily, indicating that more funds are flowing into the market, reflecting investors' expectations for price increases and their active hedging behavior in managing volatility risk.

What makes this trend even more pronounced is that, in addition to retail-driven trading volumes, institutional capital (primarily flowing through ETFs and other regulated products) is becoming the dominant force. This shift could lay a stronger and more stable foundation for the next round of BTC rebounds.

On-chain demand reflects the continuous growth of Bitcoin.

According to CryptoQuant's 30-day apparent demand indicator, Bitcoin is being steadily accumulated. This on-chain metric tracks broader demand trends while filtering out short-term market noise.

AMBCrypto's analysis of the same data also indicates that the demand outlook is optimistic based on a 30-day total.

Historically, similar accumulation patterns often appear before a bull market rebound. Coupled with ongoing institutional investor interest, this trend paints an encouraging picture, suggesting that BTC may experience a demand-driven upward trend.

The decrease in mining blocks has led to tight Bitcoin supply.

At the same time, the decline in the number of mined blocks adds more weight to the bullish trend for BTC.

Recently, the number of Bitcoin mining blocks has decreased, slowing the rate at which new Bitcoins enter circulation. This has led to a supply shortage, despite the continued growth in demand from whales and institutional investors.

The decline in supply has enhanced Bitcoin's bullish momentum, especially in a market where buying pressure from large investors is steadily increasing.

#BTC走势分析