1. Short-term Overview (15-minute Frame)
• Current price: 0.5855 USDT (+1.81%)
• MA line:
• MA(7) = 0.5859 (price is cutting up → slight bullish signal)
• MA(25) = 0.5872 (near resistance)
• MA(99) = 0.5826 (strong support)
• MACD: Converging in the negative region (DIF -0.0003, DEA 0.0000) → the downtrend is weakening.
• Volume: Only reached 998K compared to a 5-period average of 2.71 million → the market is clearly lacking buying power.
Main signal: Neutral – wait for breakout of MA25 or pullback to MA99 to confirm the next direction.
2. 1-Hour Frame – Increasing but Showing Divergence Signs
• MA(7) = 0.5831 > MA(25) = 0.5809 → Short-term bullish signal has been established.
• Positive MACD (DIF 0.0020 > DEA 0.0017) → the uptrend is still present.
• Large volume (26 million ADA), but OBV is deeply negative (-9.53 billion) → cash flow shows signs of leaving the market.
Warning: The price is rising but lacks support from cash flow → it may be a bull trap.
3. 4-Hour Frame – Uptrend Slowing Down
• MA(7) = 0.5872 > MA(25) = 0.5825 → continue the uptrend.
• MACD is positive but DIF ≈ DEA → the bullish momentum is gradually weakening.
• OBV is still negative (-1.24 billion), indicating hidden selling pressure.
Recommendation: Can take profit if the price approaches MA(7) = 0.5872 or strong selling force appears again.
4. 1-Day Frame – Long-term Trend Still Declining
• MA(99) = 0.6645 → still far above the current price range, reflecting a long-term downtrend.
• Slightly positive MACD, but DIF < DEA → the bullish force lacks sustainability.
• Volume surged, but MA5 is very high (334 million ADA) → it may be a price trap volume.
Long-term signal: Do not recommend chasing purchases, prioritize short-term trading with risk management.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
✅ Main scenario – BUY Order (Probability: 60%)
• Entry conditions: Price breaks MA25 (0.5872) accompanied by volume increase > 2.71 million.
• Take profit (TP): 0.5950 (Fibonacci level 61.8%).
• Stop loss (SL): Below 0.5826 (MA99).
• R:R ratio: ~2:1
⚠️ Secondary scenario – SHORT SELL Order (Probability: 30%)
• Entry conditions: Price drops below MA7 (0.5859), MACD negative expands.
• Take profit (TP): 0.5800
• Stop loss (SL): 0.5890
• R:R ratio: ~1.5:1
⏸️ Waiting scenario (10%)
• If the price continues to fluctuate in the range 0.5826–0.5872 without a clear direction → it is advisable to stay out to avoid noise.
📌 Summary & Recommendations
• Prioritize buying orders if there is a breakout accompanied by confirming volume.
• Probability of success:
• Long: 60%
• Short: 30%
• No trading: 10%
• Must use SL, especially in the context where OBV and MACD are giving conflicting signals.
• Closely monitor cash flow (OBV) and actual volume to avoid trading against internal trends.
Note: Use Limit Order for more precise entry and to avoid slippage. Place orders closely according to the technical zones mentioned above.