š Market Snapshot
Bitcoin is hovering around $109K, remaining close to its all-time high near $111,980 set in May .
Technical analysis suggests a key resistance zone between $109Kā$110.5K, with strong support near $107K .
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š Recent Drivers & Outlook
Institutional & ETF Flows
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows remain strongāonly one outflow day since early June, signaling positive investor appetite .
Analysts from Bitwise, Bernstein, and Standard Chartered predict Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by year-end, citing rising institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and macro liquidity boosts .
Macro & Regulatory Factors
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady through July, with cuts possibly coming in September or October. A future cut could spark a rally toward $113.9K .
Political developmentsālike the U.S. moving toward a strategic Bitcoin reserve under Trumpās administration and anticipation of crypto-friendly legislation (e.g., CLARITY, Genius Act)āare helping build confidence in institutional backing .
Price Action & Volatility
Bitcoin has been consolidating in the $108Kā$110K zone, showing tightening volatilityāoften a precursor to a breakout .
On-chain movements, including shifting of dormant wallets from 2011 (worth over $2B combined), hint at growing activity, though there's no sign of large-scale selling .