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1. 📊 Analysis of recent context
Current price ~ $0.0000568, showing slight recovery after a ~3 % increase in 24 h.
Staking exceeds 1 trillion tokens (~16 % of supply), which reduces circulating liquidity.
Active burns: community initiatives and exchanges like Binance continue to reduce supply.
Macro momentum: the crypto market is experiencing a general uptrend, with Bitcoin consolidating and altcoins following that rally.
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2. 🎯 Targets and horizon
Short term (days – weeks): capture rebounds after consolidation (~+5 % to +15 %).
Medium term (1–3 months): position oneself anticipating new supply reductions (staking, burns).
Long term (>6 months): gradual accumulation, betting on sustained recovery if community support and network improvements continue.
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3. 🧭 Key technical signals
Support between $0.000055–$0.000056.
Resistance around $0.000065–$0.000070 (psychological level and previous peak).
Recommended tools: RSI (to detect overbought/oversold), EMA-20/50 (to confirm trends), exchange volume.
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4. 📈 Entry and exit strategy
Action Estimated Price Justification
Buy $0.000055 – $0.000056 Recent minimum zone, strong staking/tokens out of the market
First target $0.000065 Technical resistance zone
Second profit-taking $0.000070 – $0.000075 Possible peak of the spot rally
Stop-Loss $0.000052 Below the key support to limit losses (~6 %)
Scaling: Buy in two or three tranches as the price approaches support.
Rebalance: Upon reaching the first target, sell 30–50 % to secure profits, let the rest run.
Trailing stop: If it surpasses the first resistance, activate trailing stop to protect gains while letting part of the position run.
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5. 📅 Risk management
Position size: No more than 2 % of the portfolio in a single spot trade.
Separation of staking: Keep a portion separate for long-term staking without the intention of active trading.
Daily check: Monitor news, burns, or ecosystem updates (e.g., Terraport, IBC improvements).
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6. 🔁 Continuous monitoring
Check updates on burns and staking from Reddit/Binance/KuCoin.
Review community forums and proposals (e.g., Terraport, Bitcoin BRC-20 support).
Adjust targets and stop according to changes in volatility and volume.
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7. 📝 Trading journal
Record at least the following:
Entry date/time and price
Volume bought
Technical or fundamental reason
Planned and executed exit points
Outcome (gain/loss %)
Learnings and future adjustments
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⚠️ Risks to consider
The market is still volatile: altcoins like LUNC can react strongly to macro news (e.g., regulations).
Community metrics (staking, burns) can change drastically after new proposals or campaigns.
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✅ Summary
1. Buy in support zone ($0.000055–$0.000056) with a clear stop at $0.000052.
2. First partial sell at technical resistance (~$0.000065).
3. Let another part run with a trailing stop, aiming for up to $0.000075.
4. Always manage risk (<2 % of portfolio/trade), adjusting as the market progresses or new information arises.
#Spot #trading #StrategicTrading #LUNC $LUNC
