$BTC
📉 Market Swing & Macro Impact
U.S. tariffs dampen momentum: Bitcoin slid just below $108K (to ~$107.7K) on July 7, reversing a weekend rally, as escalating U.S. tariff threats sparked caution across markets .
Muted volume + volatility: Trading volumes remain low (sub‑$100 B/day), prompting warnings of shaky technical momentum—signals that could lead to heightened price swings .
🔍 On‑chain & Predictive Metrics
Coin Days Destroyed spikes: Movement of ~80,000 old BTC triggered the 2nd‑largest CDD spike ever—historically a prelude to corrections, raising red flags .
Technical outlook mixed: Major EMAs ($108–110K resistance) and prediction markets signal a tug‑of‑war—65% odds Bitcoin stays above $100K in July, yet some analysts warn a drop to $60K if a 50% crash materializes .
🏦 Institutional & Corporate Moves
Genius Group boosting BTC treasury: The AI education company recently acquired 28 BTC at ~$102.9K, raising its treasury to 148 BTC and setting a 10,000 BTC target within 12–24 months .
Institutional inflows expected: Castle’s Stephen Cole believes H2 2025 will mark a pivotal shift, with corporates embracing Bitcoin as a treasury asset .
📈 Price Outlook & Predictions
Bullish estimates abound:
Bitwise thinks Bitcoin may reach ~$136K in July (a ~30% gain) .
Technical analysis from Rosenberg Research sets a breakout target at $143K if BTC beats the $114K resistance level, citing institutional ETF inflows & "friendlier U.S. regulation" .
Other moderate estimates point to $115K–$125K, with long-term optimists like Robert Kiyosaki forecasting $180–350 K by end of year .
