153 is not just a number; it's the lifeline for SOL bulls and bears! Stand firm to reap big rewards, falter and face big losses!
Current battle situation: Grinding!
The price is hovering around 152 (going up to touch 153, then coming down to 151.97), it’s like wandering in a supermarket picking chips, just can’t decide! This indicates both bulls and bears are engaged in a knife fight in the narrow range of 152-153, neither side dares to give in first.
Sencet's perspective: This kind of 'square dance-like fluctuation' is the calm before the storm! The longer it stays sideways, the bigger the movement will be later.
Key stronghold: 153!
This position of 153 is too critical! From a technical perspective:
Hard bone pressure level: Clearly marked on the chart as the first resistance level.
"Double sealing": Additionally compounded with the Fibonacci 78.6% resistance level recognized by experts, a double suppression!
Sencet's viewpoint & case: This is like a siege; the first charge (touching 153) will definitely be hard to conquer, requiring repeated charges (multiple tests) plus 'reinforcements' (increased volume) to truly break through! The current price at 151.97 is like troops at the city gates, the ladder is set up, just lacking that 'final push' in volume!
Market change alert: Sound the alarm!
"Bollinger Bands twisting like a rope": The Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands are crazily narrowing, almost twisting into a twisted rope! It's like compressing a spring to the tightest.
Sencet's viewpoint & case: The tighter the spring is compressed, the more violently it will spring back (or explode)! This kind of 'extreme compression' pattern is highly likely to explode in a big direction within 24 hours! It’s either a big surge or a big drop, there’s no third way!
Directional script: Focus on two key points!
Upward breakout (holding above 153):
First target: Previous high of 156.33 (the barrier that couldn’t be breached before).
Second target: The round number of 158 (psychological barrier, breaking through feels even better)!
Downward breakdown (breaking 151.5):
First defense line: 147.89 (short-term support).
Deep water zone: 145.11 (breaking 147.89, it’s dangerous here)!
Trading volume tricks: Is the main force secretly maneuvering?
Don’t underestimate the current estimated volume of 840,000; there’s a key signal: the MA5 average volume has crossed above the MA10!
Qiu Ge's perspective: This is like discovering big players sneaking in to buy (building positions)! Here’s the key: If it really surges to 153, and the trading volume suddenly spikes to over a million, that’s definitely a signal flare for the main force to launch a full attack, rocket ignition ready for launch!
News front: Calm on the surface, but are there sharks underneath?
SOL's backyard is stable: No big whales are stirring on-chain, and no regulators are crashing the party; NFT and DeFi data are quite robust (daily trading in the tens of millions, top four in locked positions), indicating SOL itself has solid foundations.
Macro big thunder: Tonight's US CPI!
Sencet's viewpoint & case: This is like everyone is preparing for street battles with SOL, but suddenly there might be bombs falling from the sky (CPI explosion). The main force loves to use this kind of 'external panic' to shake the market and wash out the weak hands! Tonight's data is the biggest variable.
Sencet's strategic essence: Don’t wait until you 'see clearly' to take action!
Bullish script (offensive):
If the price can hold above 152.5 (the intraday dividing line between bulls and bears), a small position can be tried on the long side (get in).
Once the volume (in the millions!) truly breaks 153, decisively increase the position! The target is aimed straight at 156!
Bearish script (defensive counterattack):
If the price effectively breaks below 151.5, don’t hesitate, chase the short!
Strict stop loss: Set above 152.8 (give a little room for false breaks).
The target is first set at 148.
Core mantra (remember!):
"With volume breaking through, aggressively follow the trend; without volume, steadily watch the show!"
The spring has been compressed to the limit, the direction is about to explode! Is it a mule or a horse? Tonight's CPI + main force movement will reveal all! Family, load the ammunition, keep a close eye on 153 and the volume, ready to follow the trend to profit or retreat for safety? Drop your stance in the comments!
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