📈 $BTC Monthly RSI and Market Cycles
In both previous major cycles (2013 and 2017):
When $BTC hit macro tops, the monthly RSI peaked near or above 90.
These tops coincided with overheated market sentiment and parabolic price action.
RSI cooled off dramatically afterward, marking the start of the bear phases.
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🔄 This Cycle: 2024–2025 Outlook
As of now (mid-2025), BTC’s monthly RSI is climbing, but has not yet reached historical peak levels.
If history repeats, BTC has not topped yet.
This suggests more upside is likely, possibly aligning with upcoming catalysts:
U.S. Fed rate cuts
$BTC ETF inflows
Corporate and sovereign accumulation
Election-related hype (especially in the U.S.)
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🧠 Key Takeaway
If RSI continues its historical pattern, the current reading suggests we’re mid-cycle, not at the top.
> 📊 Implication: A blow-off top scenario could still be ahead, potentially taking BTC into the $120K–$200K range depending on market momentum and macro conditions