📊 Market Overview Summary – July 2025
Tariff Developments:
The Trump administration imposed 25% tariffs on imports from Japan and South Korea, impacting 71% of U.S. imports ($2.3 trillion).
Announced on April 2 under the "Liberation Day" framework, causing global market turbulence.
Key Market Effects:
U.S. GDP may drop by 0.9%, especially hurting agriculture and manufacturing.
Retaliation from China, Canada, and the EU affects $330B in U.S. exports.
New regulations (anti-stacking rules, de minimis adjustments) are reshaping trade flows.
Trading Opportunities:
Watch commodity & manufacturing sectors for price swings.
USD weakness could create opportunities in emerging market currencies.
Southeast Asia may benefit from supply chain realignments.
Retailers (e.g., Nike, H&M) likely to pass tariff costs to consumers.
Legal appeals may reduce effective tariff rates from 13–14% down to 5%.
Risk & Strategy Outlook:
Investors are leaning towards safe-haven assets.
July 2025 deadline for final tariff changes is a critical turning point.
Requires strategic positioning and strong risk management.