BTC intraday trading guide: Hammer line alarm and life-and-death speed under institutional undercurrents
—— When candlestick codes meet geopolitical storms, who will dominate the ten thousand point market?
Technical aspect: Double bottom prototype emerging, bulls need to break key resistance
1-hour candlestick chart reveals key signals:
Price structure: BTC quoted at $108,853, rebounding after pulling back to support at 107400, forming a potential double bottom pattern. If resistance at 109241 is broken, upward space will open to the historical high of 111970.
Moving average system: MA5/MA20 death cross diverging downward, but MA60 ($106,500) still shows an upward trend, mid-term trend not broken.
Indicator contradiction: The MACD histogram continues to expand (bullish dominant) while KDJ is in a neutral consolidation (around 55), need to break 109241 to confirm reversal.
Volume-price relationship: Trading volume surged 27% in the last 4 hours, price and volume rising in sync, bullish momentum strengthening.
News: Three major positives vs. two significant risks, market sentiment is delicately balanced
Bullish fuel:
Canadian company LQWD purchases 10 BTC at an average price of $109,240, total holdings reach 181 BTC.
The U.S. SEC receives TruthSocial's BTC/ETH spot ETF application, institutional funds may enter.
Goldman Sachs predicts over 70% chance of Fed rate cut in September, liquidity easing expectations support risk assets.
Short hidden dangers:
The U.S. imposes 25%-30% tariffs on South Africa/Malaysia, emerging market funds may withdraw.
BTC network hash rate decreased 8% over 7 days, risk of miner sell-off needs attention.
Candlestick Judge · A decisive stroke: During the consolidation phase, focus on the breakout of the 107400-109241 range
Current market shows characteristics of a 'news vacuum period':
There is support downward: 107400 is a concentrated area of institutional holding costs, and multiple hammer line reversal signals have appeared.
Need momentum to rise: Must break 109241 (previous high + golden ratio 0.618) to confirm bullish return.
Time window: Before the Fed's July 31 interest rate decision, the market may maintain narrow fluctuations.
Candlestick Warrior · Peak Bomb Strategy: Layout in three tiers, strictly adhere to risk control discipline
Operational advice:
Aggressive: Current price $108,853, light position long, stop loss at 107184 (1% below support), target 109241-109692.
Conservative: Re-enter long after breaking 109241 and confirming on pullback, target 111970.
Short defense: If it falls below 107184, short on the rebound, stop loss above 107400, target 106544 (MA60 support).
Risk control points:
Leverage should be controlled within 3 times to avoid black swan events.
Simultaneously pay attention to ETH bullish flag breakout (target 3600) as a BTC linkage signal.
Before the release of the U.S. June CPI data at 23:00, it is recommended to close positions and observe.
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