ETH market analysis today - Professional trader's trading notes
"ETH is like a ball pressed on a spring - the harder it's pressed, the stronger the rebound! Today's trend, both bulls and bears are fighting at the key position of 2530!"
Zhuque's opinion:
ETH has two potential developments: if it breaks upwards, the first effective breakthrough will be 2542, then a pullback waiting for a second move, and a subsequent breakthrough could see 2559.
The second possibility is a downward break from the box, which may fall to the support at 2519; if it breaks below, we will see 2500. If you don't know the specific effective breakthrough points, you can follow Zhuque and pay attention to my homepage introduction, Zhuque will guide you step by step.
Key signals on the market:
Price stuck at a key position:
Current price 2530 USD, sandwiched between the middle Bollinger Band 2543 and the lower band 2510
2575 above is strong resistance, 2510 below is the last line of defense
This position is like walking on a tightrope; a slight misstep could lead to a waterfall or a surge
MACD hides secrets:
DIF line -5.62 and DEA line -3.75 cross down
But MACD bar -3.74 starts to shrink
The bears seem fierce, but in reality, they are at the end of their tether
Abnormal trading volume:
1-hour trading volume 11.54 million, 30% lower than the average
The price remains unchanged
Typical 'main force washing plate' method
Latest market dynamics:
NASDAQ futures up 0.18%, ETH correlation 0.42
On-chain monitoring has detected 3 addresses with 10,000 ETH level orders at 2530
Derivatives data:
Perpetual contract funding rate -0.01%
Options positions concentrated in 2550-2575
Practical operating strategy:
Short-term:
Break through 2540 with light positions to try long, target 2560
Break below 2510 and go short, target 2480
Medium-term:
Build positions in batches in the 2480-2500 range
The first touch at 2575 above must reduce positions
Beware of the 'door painting trend' during the US trading period
Focus on MACD golden cross signal
USDT premium 1.03% shows funds are on the sidelines
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