Brothers, keep an eye on the core: 2530-2560 USDT. This narrow range of 20 dollars is the lifeline! The technicians know it well—38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is at 2690 dollars (previously mistaken as 2680), which is the 'high-voltage grid' for the recent rebound. The price is now stuck in the middle, with bulls and bears clashing fiercely.
Bull trench (buying pressure):
The main orders have revealed their cards! In the 2530 area, there are thick buy orders stacked like a city wall: 2530.66 has a super buy order of 52,000 USDT (previously mistaken as 50,000), followed closely by 2530.59/58. This clearly shows the intentions: the bulls treat 2530 as the 'lifeline defense', and anyone who dares to sell will face fierce resistance!
Air force fortress (selling pressure):
Looking up at 2560-2600, it's simply a graveyard of sell orders! 2580.64/60, 2604.68 are layered defenses, especially above 2600, a huge amount of trapped orders is pressing down. Want to break through? You'll need to smash through the steel dome with real money!
Battlefield situation (trading):
The latest trades are at 2530.52-2530.84 (previously missed 2530.52), with a price difference of less than 0.3 dollars! The trading volume is at an all-time low—both bulls and bears are waiting for each other's moves or for news to 'strike'.
Today's variables (news):
The dollar's knife hangs high: US June non-farm payrolls exploded at +224,000, with the Fed's interest rate cut expectations delayed, leading to a surge in the dollar index! History repeats itself: a strong dollar means bloodshed in the crypto world!
Foundation's hidden arrow: An Ethereum-related wallet transferred 2000 ETH this morning; although the amount is not large, any movement at sensitive levels can trigger 'panic selling', a weapon for the bears!
Constrained hard-core viewpoint:
Current pattern = 'Weak oscillation grinding the bottom'! Break through 2600? Selling pressure is overwhelming! Break 2500? 2530 buy orders are a solid wall! The key is to see the essence clearly: the heavy defense at 2530 by the bulls is 'passive defense', definitely not an offensive signal—referencing the massive orders protecting Luna before its collapse (only a tactical comparison, ETH fundamentals are healthy). Beware of the main force 'false breakout laying traps' when volume is exhausted!
Lifeline watch position:
Bull's lifeline at 2530: If there is a breakout with volume and buy orders are swallowed, it will rush towards 2500/2480!
Bear's throat at 2560: Must break with volume (current trading volume 1.5 times +) to stand firm, then have the qualification to challenge the strong pressure zone at 2600-2630.
Practical strategy:
Player type operation guide: Spot traders lie flat in the 2530-2560 range! Break 2560 + and increase volume to chase lightly; if 2530 is lost, cut losses and escape! Futures traders are for experts only! In the 2530-2560 range, short high and long low, set stop losses at ±15 dollars; if broken, open positions in the direction of the trend, refuse to hold onto losing positions! Observers make smart choices! Before the direction is clear, protecting capital is the way to win!
ETH is now like a spring tightly compressed at 2530—will it violently rebound or collapse in frustration? It all depends on whether the 2530 buy wall vs. the 2560 selling pressure mountain explodes first! Tonight's volume will determine the situation, K-line will reveal the truth! Pay attention to the constraints! Are you betting on the bulls' desperate counterattack or the air force crushing the city? Show your sword in the comments!
Market storm, strong players team up! Top-tier constrained positions are open, limited to ambitious and crazed players to seize!