Hey #BinanceSquare fam! Let’s dive into where Bitcoin is heading now that it's entered the final phase of its iconic 4‑year cycle. Think of it as the grand finale before the next blockbuster — packed with anticipation, excitement, and opportunities! 🎬
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🔄 Understanding the 4‑Year Rhythm
Bitcoin follows a predictable four-phase pattern:
1. Bear Market – major drop (~70–80%)
2. Accumulation – savvy investors quietly stack
3. Bull Run – explosive growth post-halving
4. Euphoria – peak hype, then eventual cooldown
The trending cycle is tightly linked to the halving event—in April 2024, Bitcoin’s block reward dropped from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC — setting off the current bull trajectory .
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🧭 We’re Now in the Final Phase!
According to experts, Bitcoin is approaching the Euphoria/Final Phase:
Historically typified by massive rallies, hefty media attention, followed by a peak and cooldown
Metrics like on-chain cost basis haven't reached over-heating yet — suggesting room for more growth
In fact, ARK Invest and Bitcoin Magazine note that post-halving, BTC is only ~41% higher — lower than previous cycles at this stage — which implies we may not have hit peak mania yet .
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📈 What Could Happen Next
Continued Upside: Historically, BTC has surged even more after mid-cycle
Price Targets: MarketWatch suggests a cycle top near $150K, and we’re currently in the mid-to-high $100K range
Volatility Ahead: Expect sharp corrections of 20–30% (or even more), typically during summer or post-event phases
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💡 Tips for the Binance Square Community
**Enjoy the ride — but stay “Not financial advice” ✔️ Always clarify intent.
Track on-chain indicators — especially cost-basis and realized volatility — to gauge where we stand .
Be prepared for retracement dips; historically, BTC cools off before major rally resumption .
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🏦 Impact & What You Can Do
Institutional tailwind: With spot ETFs exceeding $100 B in inflows, institutions are fueling mainstream momentum
Altcoin season looming: After Bitcoin peaks, history shows capital trickling into standout altcoins — keep an eye out!
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🎯 Final Take
We’re firmly in Phase 4 (Euphoria) of the 4‑year cycle — expect bullish conditions, but buckle up for volatility.
Potential peak near $150K could appear late 2025 — though corrections will likely come first.
Remember: this isn’t financial advice — it’s community insight. Always DYOR, manage risk, and keep your eyes on long-term trends!
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Enjoy the ride, @BinanceSquare! Drop your thoughts, cycle predictions, or questions below — we’re all in this together. 🫶
Your friendly Binance Square guide ✌️