Is July Really the Start of Altcoin Season — or Just Another Hype Cycle?
Crypto communities on Twitter and Telegram are lighting up with speculation that July could finally bring the long-awaited Altcoin Season. But before jumping in, let’s break it down based on actual market data.
What the Numbers Say Right Now
The Altcoin Season Index from CryptoRank sits at 31 out of 100 — still pointing to Bitcoin season.
AInvest’s index reading on July 7 is even lower, at 27.
In short: Bitcoin is still outperforming most altcoins.
What Analysts Are Seeing
Michael van de Poppe believes altseason indicators often bottom out in June and start to rise later, so we’re likely still in the setup phase. Coinpedia also highlights that the altcoin market cap (excluding the top 10 coins) stands at about $1.16 trillion — roughly 24% under its peak. Only around 29% of altcoins have managed to beat Bitcoin’s performance recently.
What Traders Should Keep in Mind
Bitcoin remains dominant for now.
A few tokens like SYRUP, PENGU, and HYPE are seeing solid gains, but they’re more the exception than the rule.
A true altcoin season typically begins when the altseason index climbs above 75. Right now, it's hovering around 30.
Key Signals to Watch
If the index crosses above 50, it might be an early sign.
Bitcoin dominance dropping below 60% would suggest a real shift.
A steady rise in the altcoin market cap would show growing investor interest.
Final Thoughts
There’s a lot of chatter about an incoming altcoin rally, but the data doesn’t confirm it — at least not yet. The smart approach? Stay alert, watch the indicators, and don’t rush in without stronger confirmation.
What’s your game plan — stacking altcoins now or holding out for a clearer trend?
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