#TrumpTariffs Trump's Presidential Policy—a combination of massive tax cuts and additional tariffs against countries taxing US exports could have mixed effects on the global market for risk assets like crypto.

Here is a brief analysis from both sides:

🚀 Potential Market Drivers

1. Tax Cuts = Economic Stimulus:

Could increase corporate profits and domestic consumption.

Investors may view this positively for the US stock market.

Could enhance purchasing power and profits for technology companies or US-based firms—including some related to crypto-infrastructure.

2. Short-term investor sentiment:

Tax cuts are often welcomed with a rally in the stock market.

Crypto could also get a boost if there is a "risk-on mood" and high liquidity in the market.

⚠️ Potential Volatility & Global Risks

1. Additional Tariffs = International Trade Tensions:

Could trigger a trade war with major countries (Europe, China).

Disrupt global supply chains and provoke retaliatory actions that worsen global markets.

2. Rising inflation and interest rates:

Too rapid domestic growth could lead to inflation → The Fed may raise interest rates faster.

High interest rates tend to pressure risk assets like crypto and growth stocks.

3. Crypto as a hedge:

In global uncertainty, investors sometimes see Bitcoin and crypto as an alternative to fiat currencies or traditional financial systems.

However, if volatility is too high and liquidity is tight, investors may shy away from crypto for a while.

📊 Conclusion

In the short term: It could drive markets and crypto due to the euphoria of tax cuts.

In the medium to long term: The risk of trade tensions and inflation could lead to high global volatility.

For crypto: It could benefit from global uncertainty if investors see it as a safe haven, but could also be hit if market liquidity dries up.

💬 What are your own thoughts? Are you more bullish or cautious about this situation?