Forecasts indicate that Bitcoin may experience a strong rise during the third quarter of 2025, driven by several historical and economic factors, especially since it follows the "halving" event that occurred earlier in the year. Here are the details:
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🔍 Historical and contextual analysis
- The third quarter of every year following a halving (such as 2013, 2017, 2021) has always seen strong increases in Bitcoin's price.
- In 2025, following the recent halving, analysts expect this quarter to serve as a launchpad for a significant rise ⁽¹⁾.
- The reduced supply of Bitcoin due to the halving increases scarcity, driving prices up as demand rises.
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💰 Price forecasts from various sources
Source: Price forecast for Q3 2025 Aquinas Wealth Advisors $130,000⁽²⁾ Motley Fool $200,000 BlackRock (internal estimate) up to $700,000 if hedge funds allocate 2-5% of their assets to Bitcoin⁽²⁾ Daily predictions (July 2025) between $105,000 and $120,000 on most days of the month ⁽³⁾---
📊 Supporting factors for the rise
- ✅ Increasing institutional demand through ETF funds.
- ✅ Expansion of Bitcoin's use as a reserve asset in some countries.
- ✅ Historical momentum after the halving.
- ✅ Inflation of the U.S. dollar drives investors towards digital assets.
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⚠️ Risks to be aware of
- Sudden market fluctuations.
- Unexpected regulatory decisions.
- Profit-taking from large investors.
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🧭 Summary
Bitcoin is strongly positioned to exceed $120,000 during the third quarter of 2025, with realistic chances of reaching $130,000 – $150,000 if the current momentum continues. Some optimistic estimates suggest $200,000 or more, but that depends on massive institutional inflows.
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