Bitcoin surged and then pulled back last night, but the key range of 108500—108000 held steady. The market stopped falling and rebounded, and the script is playing out exactly the same! Over the weekend, opened long at 108100, fully captured profits, bringing it to +43%, comfortably harvesting a wave! If you saw my public account yesterday or asked me for daily strategies, congratulations — making money is guaranteed! Friends who are still observing and haven't gotten in, let's go! Keep up with the rhythm, don’t miss the next wave of the market!
BTC
Bitcoin quickly surged after hitting the resistance-support switch position at 108388 yesterday, peaking at 109700 before retreating for consolidation. From a structural perspective, the lows are consistently rising, and bears find it difficult to push for deep declines, indicating a strong overall trend. On the news front, Trump signed the 'Big and Beautiful Act,' which is essentially 'robbing the poor to give to the rich,' expected to release more market liquidity; while Musk announced the establishment of the 'American Party,' this political move is seen as a potential positive for the crypto circle. On a technical level, Bitcoin's weekly chart has confirmed an upward turn, forming a resonant upward structure with the monthly chart.
If this position cannot launch an upward attack but instead directly falls back into weekly or monthly level adjustments, then this year will likely be a year of oscillation, and market space will be suppressed. Therefore, I prefer to see July, August, and September as key windows for market explosion, worthy of close attention and early layout.
Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating and gaining momentum. The subsequent movement will likely oscillate between the upper and lower boundaries of the descending channel or between the upper boundary and the mid-axis price. The estimated time for Bitcoin to break upwards is in mid to late July.
ETH
Ethereum has been consolidating in the 2300—2700 range for a full 9 weeks, in a typical horizontal consolidation phase. From a timing perspective, this round of consolidation has lasted long enough; if there was an intention for a deep decline, the market should have chosen a direction long ago, rather than delaying until now. More importantly, the Ethereum cloud monthly chart has already turned upward; if the weekly chart also turns upward subsequently, it will form a mid to long-term upward resonance structure, ushering in a significant rally. And don't forget, the strength of altcoin trends often depends on Ethereum's rhythm. If ETH confirms a strengthening, altcoins will dance collectively, and the market is very likely to enter a new offensive phase.
Altcoin
In fact, many mainstream altcoins have already adjusted significantly at the weekly level during the big drop in March and April. For example, SOL has retraced about 68% from its high of $95, and PEPE has retraced over 81% from its high of 525, which is a considerable drop. However, even so, their performance in this round of rebound remains relatively weak, indicating that market sentiment has not yet fully ignited. To truly break out into independent trends, we must wait for Bitcoin's explosion to drive overall capital backflow, which will provide concentrated opportunities for altcoins to take off.
For volatile and high-potential assets like PEPE and SOL, as long as position size is well controlled, a large drop can actually present a good buying opportunity. If there is a real chance of a deep decline later, I will not hesitate to use low leverage to buy these two coins at the bottom, waiting for a rebound.
AP
Before Musk officially announced the establishment of the 'American Party,' I had already started gradually increasing my position in anticipation. When the news was officially released, I woke up to find that the market had surged, and I decisively took profits on half, thinking to let the remaining position profit soar. But within a few minutes, the market suddenly turned weak, and I immediately sensed something was wrong, promptly clearing out all remaining positions. This is a typical 'good news cashing out equals bad news' situation; the moment the news is released is often when funds exit. The real opportunity is always before the market recognizes the news; the real exit often happens amid a clamor.
On-chain
BSC
1. USD1 related narratives are generally strong speculative positions, follow a trend, and make some points.
2. Related to CZ and Binance's official Twitter, PVP, if it doesn't go beyond 1.5m, it's basically the top.
3. The TGE of fourmeme, such as $skyai, $uptop, has a high probability of making money, it's just a roll.
SOL
1. Various news hotspot markets
2. Leading stocks speculation in various exchanges, previous luanchcoin, now bonkfun.
3. Musk's tweet words
VC projects
1. Research coins on Binance Alpha to see if it's worth entering for a while: mainly observe if the project is purely for selling or for making alpha trading or has other purposes. 2. Research new coins on contracts for bullish or bearish sentiment: look at circulation, background, and the majority sentiment.
Yield farming
1. The CryptoVerse activity of the OKX wallet is usually 0 cost; occasionally there are some new coins' IDOs.
2. The booster activity of Binance wallet, with 61 alpha points to do tasks and share tokens.
3. On-chain staking projects, both new and old, for DeFi. New projects offer APR + tokens for staking; old projects yield APR. The other is a short-term strategy for public chains that have emerged. Pay close attention and jump in at the first opportunity, without fear of losing everything.