🔥TRUMP Overbought Alert! 8.8 Resistance Level May Trigger a Correction Storm, Short Position Target Locked (With Precise Strategy)
Technical Analysis
1. Price Status
• Bollinger Bands: Current price 8.66 is close to the upper band (8.7188), Bollinger Bands position 79.83% → Overbought Area, Significant Correction Pressure
• MA200: Price below MA200 (8.782) and deviated -1.39% → Strengthened Bearish Trend
• Holding Cost: Below 1h Holding Cost (8.754) → Most Holders in Loss, Selling Pressure Risk Increased
2. Market Strength
• Trading Volume: 24h Volume Ratio 1.21 (Moderate Increase), but 1h RSI 74.29 Seriously Overbought → Divergence between Volume and Price
• Fund Flow: 1h Contract Net Outflow 84.38k (Price Drop -0.71%) → Smart Money Exiting
• Order Book: Selling Pressure Dominates (Buy/Sell Ratio 0.98), Near-term Sell Orders Exceeding 133k USDT → Short-term Pressure
3. Key Levels
• Support: 8.5 (283k USDT Liquidity Pool), 8.38 (249k)
• Resistance: 8.79 (207k Sell Order Wall), 10.47 (227k)
• Liquidity Gap: 8.66-8.79 No Large Order Buffer → Breakthrough May Cause Flash Crash
Market Cycle
End of Bear Market Rebound: 7-day Drop 6.41% + Monthly Line Deviated from MA200 Over 14%, Rebound Momentum Exhausted, Mid-term Downward Trend Unchanged.
Trading Strategy
Direction: Short-term Short
• Entry: 8.65 (Near Current Price)
• Stop Loss: 8.80 (Breakthrough Bollinger Bands Upper Band)
• Target: 8.40 (First Liquidity Support)
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.67 (Automatically Calculated)
Risk Warning
⚠️ Sudden Political Favorability (e.g., Trump’s Election Situation Reversal) May Reverse Trend; Stop Loss Required Below 8.38; Position ≤2%, Avoid Low Liquidity Periods (UTC 0:00-4:00).
> Strategy Invalid Conditions: Daily Close Above 8.80 Will Abandon Short Position.
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