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🔍 1. Technical Context Summary

Approximate price: $2.85 USD

Current key range: $2.70–$3.00 USD

General trend: TON is in a consolidation phase after a strong rise driven by fundamental news (Golden Visa UAE program).

Relevant supports: $2.80 (short term), $2.70 (major support).

Key resistances: $3.00 (psychological and technical zone), $3.20 and $3.50.

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✅ 2. Bullish Scenario

📈 Condition:

Clear breakout confirmation above $3.00 USD with increasing volume and stable daily close.

⚙️ Entry Strategy:

Main entry: staggered purchase $3.00–$3.05 after confirmed breakout.

Additional purchase if TON holds closes >$3.10 with increased volume.

🎯 Profit Targets:

TP1 (Partial): $3.20–$3.25

TP2 (Extended): $3.50–$3.75

TP3 (Maximum): $4.00+, keep a small % as a continuation position.

🛡️ Stop-Loss:

Initial: below $2.95 (if entering on breakout).

Once it reaches TP1, move SL to entry point (break-even).

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🚨 3. Bearish Scenario

📉 Condition:

TON fails to hold $2.80 and closes below with high volume or breaks major support $2.70.

⚙️ Entry Strategy:

Wait for a pullback to the $2.60–$2.50 zone for possible rebound purchases (scalp).

If it shows no signs of recovery, better to refrain from opening spot buys.

🎯 Profit Targets (Rebound):

TP1: $2.70–$2.75 (technical rebound).

TP2: $2.80 (recovery of lost support).

🛡️ Stop-Loss:

Below $2.50 for scalping.

If it breaks $2.50 with volume, avoid accumulation: better to wait for new structures.

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🧩 4. Key Technical Confirmations

✅ To enter long (bullish):

Daily close >$3.00 with increasing volume.

MACD bullish crossover + EMA 9/21 expanding.

RSI between 55–70 without extreme overbought.

✅ For possible bearish rebound:

Bullish divergence in RSI if the price drops quickly to $2.50–$2.60.

Reversal candles (pin bar, hammer) at strong support.

Decreasing volume on decline (indicates selling exhaustion).

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⚖️ 5. Risk Management and Execution

Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% of total capital.

Do not average losses: if the structure invalidates, exit without hesitation.

Adjust TP and SL dynamically: closely follow news from the TON project and general crypto market movements.

Avoid FOMO: wait for real confirmation, especially on resistance breakouts.

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🏁 Final Insight

🔑 TON has solid fundamentals due to its relationship with Telegram and new incentives (Golden Visa UAE).

📊 The current range ($2.70–$3.00) is key to defining the next major trend: consolidating above confirms bullish strength; losing key supports can lead to deep corrections.

#Spot #trading #StrategicTrading #TON $TON