$BTC In July 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key moment in the market cycle following the halving in April 2024. Below is the current projection with context and possible scenarios:

Estimated current price of BTC (July 6, 2025):

🔸 Range: $61,000 – $63,500

(slightly varies by exchange and liquidity)

Current context July 2025

Factor Status

⛏️ Post-Halving Occurred in April 2024: daily issuance dropped to 3.125 BTC per block. This historically generates strong increases after 9-15 months.

🧠 Sentiment Moderately optimistic. There is institutional accumulation and lower selling from miners.

🇺🇸 U.S. Policies The market anticipates the possible election of Trump (or a crypto-friendly candidate), generating bullish interest.

📈 ETFs Spot BTC ETFs (like BlackRock and Fidelity) continue to accumulate BTC. This provides liquidity and long-term confidence.

🐳 Whale movements Many old wallets have started moving BTC, but without aggressive selling. Sign of redistribution.

BTC projection for the remainder of 2025

Scenario Price Range Estimated Probability

📈 Bullish (mainstream FOMO, pro-BTC USA elections) $75,000 – $95,000 50%

⚖️ Lateral/Moderate (without strong momentum, but with support) $58,000 – $70,000 35%

🔻 Bearish (harsh regulation, macro crisis) $45,000 – $55,000 15%

Key factors that could drive the price

1. Elections in the U.S. (November 2025):

A more crypto-friendly government could lead BTC > $80k.

2. Sustained ETF inflow:

More institutional investment = bullish pressure.

3. Reduction of sales from miners and old holders.

4. Narratives of refuge against inflation or collapse of fiat currencies.

📆 Year-end projection (December 2025)

🎯 Reasonable target (if the post-halving cycle continues):

$85,000 – $95,000

🚀 Extreme target (if there is FOMO and massive institutional entry):

$100,000 – $120,000

📉 Strong support if it drops:

$52,000 – $56,000